(Jerusalem Post) Ophir Falk and Michael Segall - There is a distinct possibility that the U.S. Congress will disapprove the Iranian nuclear deal or demand it be improved. Will the sides then return to the table to broker a better deal? Iran will prefer renewed negotiations to war. The lifting of sanctions and the return to the family of nations remain prime Iranian interests. Iran knows it has a lot to lose if it walks away or turns to war. Aside from the fact that returning to the nuclear negotiations table will show a pragmatic side and score points in public opinion, it is very unlikely that Iran will waive the $150 billion expected to come its way once the final deal is struck and sanctions are lifted. If a revised agreement will improve the inspections framework whereby upon suspicion Iranians will receive a 24-hour notice rather than a 24-day notice; if the Iranians will truly be limited in their enrichment of uranium - forever; and if enforceable penalties for Iranian violations will be clearly set, then the democratic process being played out now in America will have been well worth the effort. Ophir Falk is a PhD. candidate in International Relations at Haifa University. Lt. Col. (ret.) Michael (Mickey) Segall is a senior analyst at the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs.
2015-08-19 00:00:00Full ArticleBACK Visit the Daily Alert Archive