(Institute for National Security Studies-Tel Aviv University) Prof. Kobi Michael - Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar in Gaza is closely monitoring developments in Israel and continuously refining his attrition strategy. His goal is to bring an end to the war while ensuring the survival of Hamas as both a military and governmental entity within Gaza. To them, the mere survival of Hamas is perceived as their victory and Israel's defeat. Considering the progression of the war and what is reflected in the Israeli and international media, the Hamas leadership in Gaza is presumably optimistic about the prospects of success and the efficacy of its strategy. The more optimistic the Hamas leadership becomes, the less inclined it is to consider proposals that could potentially end the war. In this context, the U.S. administration's growing criticism of Israel's political leadership plays into Hamas hands and bolsters its commitment to its strategy. The hope of ending the war on terms favorable to Hamas is further supported by international statements urging Israel to increase humanitarian aid and facilitate the return of displaced persons to northern Gaza (which is tantamount to a significant withdrawal of IDF forces from the region). Therefore, it is imperative that Israel thwart and disrupt Hamas' strategy and ensure the dismantlement of its capabilities as both a military and governmental entity. The writer is a senior researcher at INSS.
2024-01-19 00:00:00Full ArticleBACK Visit the Daily Alert Archive