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| DAILY ALERT |
Monday, June 28, 2021 |
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News Resources - North America, Europe, and Asia:
The U.S. on Sunday conducted airstrikes in Syria and Iraq against two Iranian-backed militias that the Pentagon said were mounting drone attacks against U.S. troops in Iraq. Operational and weapons-storage facilities were struck at three locations near the Syria-Iraq border that were used by Kata'ib Hezbollah and Kata'ib Sayyid al-Shuhada. Michael Knights of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy said there have been at least eight drone attacks directed at U.S. forces in Iraq since April 14. (Wall Street Journal) See also Defensive Precision Airstrikes in Response to Drone Strikes on U.S. Personnel and Facilities in Iraq (U.S. Defense Department) Israel has serious reservations about the Iran nuclear deal being put together in Vienna, new Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid told U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken in their first face-to-face meeting in Rome on Sunday. (Reuters) See also New Officials Reaffirm U.S., Israel Ties Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid said Sunday before meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken: "We want the same things. We sometimes disagree about how to achieve them. Israel has some serious reservations about the Iran nuclear deal that is being put together in Vienna. We believe the way to discuss those disagreements is through direct and professional conversation." Secretary of State Antony Blinken said: "As the closest of friends do, we will have occasional differences. We have the same objectives; sometimes we differ on the tactics....But the foundation is a deep, enduring, abiding commitment on the part of the United States to Israel's security and a commitment that President Biden brought with him to office." (U.S. State Department) Iran's parliament speaker Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf said Sunday that Tehran will no longer hand over images from inside its nuclear sites to the International Atomic Energy Agency since the monitoring agreement with the agency had expired, Iranian state media reported. (Reuters) In response to a news report Thursday that Washington was planning to annul its recognition of Israeli sovereignty over the Golan Heights, the U.S. State Department said: "U.S. policy regarding the Golan has not changed, and reports to the contrary are false." (Asharq Al-Awsat-UK) The Special Cell of the Delhi Police on Thursday arrested four students from Jammu and Kashmir in connection with a blast near the Israel Embassy on Jan. 29. They have been identified as Nazir Hussain (26), Zulfikar Ali Wazir (25), Aiaz Hussain (28) and Muzammil Hussain (25). (Bangalore Mirror-Outlook-India) Sayed Zulfikar Bukhari, senior advisor to Pakistani Prime Minister Imran Khan, secretly visited Israel and met with then-Chief of the Mossad Yossi Cohen last November, a source in Islamabad said. (ANI-India) See also Pakistani Advisor Denies Report He Visited Israel Sayed Zulfi Bukhari tweeted Monday denying having secretly visited Israel for meetings with senior government officials: "DID NOT go to Israel." If confirmed, this would not be the first contact between the two countries. In 2018, an Israeli business jet flew to Islamabad, staying on the ground for ten hours before returning. (Ha'aretz) News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
The Israel Defense Forces Home Front Command sent a search and rescue team to Florida to assist with rescue efforts following the Surfside residential building collapse, the Defense Ministry said Saturday night. "The mission of the delegation is to assist in the life-saving efforts by mapping the challenges at the site of the destruction, assisting the Jewish community, and supporting the local rescue forces." Israel's United Hatzalah volunteer emergency service sent six psychological assistance professionals to assist the affected families and community. "In such difficult moments, we stand with our American friends and the Jewish community in Florida," said Israeli Foreign Minister Yair Lapid. (Times of Israel) Israeli Prime Minister Naftali Bennett said Thursday that Israel "will continue to consult with our allies" on countering Tehran's nuclear program, "to convince, to talk, to share information and understandings, through deep mutual respect. But, in the end, we will retain responsibility for our fate in our own hands, and not in anyone else's hands. We will behave responsibly and seriously to protect the great legacy of which we are custodians." "The other side's level of sophistication and determination has advanced, but our enemies know - not from declarations, but from actions - that we are many times more determined, many times more sophisticated, and do not hesitate to act when necessary," Bennett said. Bennett has responded to the likely scenario of an American return to the Iran nuclear deal by trying to cooperate with the Americans to reduce the possible damage to Israel's security. (Jerusalem Post) Israel and Hamas have reached a basic ceasefire agreement through Egyptian mediators, Arab and Palestinian news outlets reported on Sunday. According to the agreement, Qatari aid money will be transferred to Gaza and shipments of Qatari-funded fuel will resume for Gaza's power plant. The IDF said the deliveries were "conditional on the continued maintenance of security stability." (Israel Hayom) See also Israel: Gaza Reconstruction Depends on Progress on Missing Israelis - Nidal al-Mughrabi Reconstruction of Gaza after last month's fighting between Israel and Hamas is being held up by a dispute over the fate of Israelis long held by the Islamist group, officials say. Israel says reconstruction can proceed only if there is progress in efforts to recover the bodies of two IDF soldiers who fell in the 2014 Gaza war as well as two civilians who slipped separately into the Strip. "It's reconstruction in exchange for progress on the missing," a senior Israeli official said. Hamas says talks about the Israelis must be based on a swap for Palestinians imprisoned in Israel, not aid. (Reuters) Palestinian security force members in civilian clothes and Fatah members charged at protesters in Ramallah on Saturday night who were protesting over political activist Nizar Banat, who was beaten to death by Palestinian security personnel last Thursday. The Fatah movement announced it would strike with an iron fist at anyone who dares to defame the personnel of the PA security institutions. (Ha'aretz) See also Why Are Palestinians Protesting Against Abbas? - Joseph Krauss Thousands of Palestinians have taken to the streets in recent days to protest against President Mahmoud Abbas and the Palestinian Authority. Abbas' popularity plunged after he called off the first elections in 15 years in April. The increasingly authoritarian PA is dominated by Abbas' Fatah party, led by a small circle of men in their 60s and 70s. Abbas is 85. The PA leadership is widely seen by the Palestinians as corrupt and self-serving. Yet Israel, the U.S. and the EU all prefer the unelected PA to Hamas - which they consider a terrorist group - or to the chaos that could ensue from the PA's collapse. (AP) Honduran President Juan Orlando Hernandez dedicated the new Embassy of Honduras in Jerusalem on Thursday, the fourth country to do so. In addition, Hungary and the Czech Republic have diplomatic offices in Jerusalem, and several countries have trade offices in the capital. (Jerusalem Post) In the past ten days, the number of new daily Covid cases climbed from less than 20 to over 220 a day, while the numbers of hospitalized and serious patients have remained stable. As of Monday morning, there were 1,254 active cases in Israel with 145 people diagnosed over the previous day. The number of those hospitalized, however, dropped from 47 on Saturday to 41, while the number in serious condition dropped from 26 to 22. (Jerusalem Post-Israel Ministry of Health-Hebrew) Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis:
Former U.S. secretary of state and CIA director Mike Pompeo told the Jerusalem Post that the fact that Iran was quickly able to jump to 60% uranium enrichment "doesn't prove the decision to withdraw from the JCPOA [the Iran deal] was a mistake. A commitment not to enrich when you have the capacity to do research on advanced, more capable centrifuges is folly. If I have the capacity to do centrifuges, I can turn up the pressure. You can enrich anytime you choose." "It is foolish to think that for anything which you can do in a matter of months, you should sacrifice: 1) billions of dollars, 2) allow assassinations throughout Europe, 3) allow the missile program to develop and 4) allow terror in the Middle East." "The entire basis of the deal was fundamentally flawed....The Iranians have no intention of ceasing to seek a nuclear weapon....There is no reason to give billions of dollars to fortify those programs." (Jerusalem Post) The Iranian presidential election was really about who will succeed Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, 82, as the overlord of Iran's theocracy. Khamenei has long eyed Raisi as his successor, and his promotion to the presidency presages his ultimate ascension. Raisi isn't a clever, well-read mullah, but rather is a brutal enforcer, sustaining a creed that ever-smaller numbers of Iranians embrace. Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini would often summon Raisi when he needed special missions completed with efficiency and cruelty. This led to his service on the so-called death commission in 1988, responsible for the execution of thousands of political prisoners on charges of apostasy and the denigration of Islam. In the 2021 election, Iran's Guardian Council disqualified a high number of presidential candidates - not only "moderates" but even hard-liners. As a result, Raisi ran nearly uncontested, with no real competitors, and half the electorate stayed home. Thus, the once-popular reformist notion that the theocracy could liberalize itself has died - except perhaps abroad among certain Westerners. The gap between state and society in Iran has never been wider. In the coming months, many in Washington will assure themselves that a restored nuclear accord will impose some limits on the regime's ambitions. Iran's nuclear program, we will be assured, is back in the box even as Iran's atomic infrastructure grows in sophistication and size. Reuel Marc Gerecht, a former Iranian-targets officer at the CIA, is a senior fellow at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. Ray Takeyh is a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations. (Washington Post) See also Raisi Did Not Win, Reformers Lost - Patrick Clawson (Washington Institute for Near East Policy) Conciliatory approaches toward Iran across multiple U.S. administrations have suffered from a tendency to assume that U.S. actions were the principal determinants of Iranian attitudes and behaviors, and lacked an appreciation for the revolutionary ideology that drives Iran's theocratic dictatorship. A strategy of maximum pressure that aims to force Iranian leaders to make a choice between either acting as a terrorist state or suffering the consequences of economic and diplomatic isolation is the best approach. The regime's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps gets away with murder due, in part, to the belief that the Iranian regime would respond positively to a conciliatory approach. But when Iran has moderated its behavior, it did so only in response to intense political, economic, and military pressure. From 2008 to 2018, Iran spent nearly $140 billion on its military and combat operations abroad. As American money flowed into Iran after the 2015 nuclear deal (JCPOA), funding for terrorist organizations and IRGC operations across the region soared. Hizbullah received an additional $700 million per year; another $100 million went to Palestinian terrorist groups, including Hamas, which fired 4,000 rockets into Israel in May 2021. The writer, a former U.S. national security adviser, is a senior fellow at the Hoover Institution. (Hoover Institution) Over six days this month, activists with the "Block the Boat" campaign, part of the Palestinian-led Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions campaign against Israel, targeted the ZIM San Diego, owned by an Israeli-based shipping company. Thanks to outstanding Seattle leadership, however, Port of Seattle officials were able to accommodate protesters while allowing the ship to unload its cargo on Friday without incident. Clearly, protesters have a First Amendment right to make their voices heard. But our region's maritime economy, the jobs it sustains, and the complex web of domestic and international customers should not be a casualty of politics a world away. Surrendering to protesters would have caused irreparable damage in a highly competitive environment, said Port of Seattle Commissioner Stephanie Bowman. "Looking as though we're turning cargo away, that we're inefficient, that we're not welcoming, is not the message we want to be sending." Three Seattle City Council members signed on to a statement calling for the ZIM San Diego to leave the port, ignoring that workers and Seattleites who benefit from the port are also members of the community, just as much as those who protest. (Seattle Times) If no one holds Hamas responsible for waging a constant war, and any military damage is easily repaired with aid from the U.S. and Israel, why would it stop killing Jews? Some tell themselves that the Palestinian people have turned to violence out of despair brought about by economic hardship. In reality, it is the Palestinian addiction to violence and their deliberate avoidance of creating a state that brought about the hardship in the first place. It is hope, rather than desperation, that drives the Palestinian people: the hope that their violent instincts could be gratified, that they could punish the Jews for building prosperous lives and finally put an end to their existence in the Middle East. The writer heads the International Graduate Program in National Security Studies at the University of Haifa. (Israel Hayom) Observations: Iran and Hizbullah View the 2021 Gaza War - Brig.-Gen. (ret.) Dr. Shimon Shapira, Lt.-Col. (ret.) Michael Segall, and Jerusalem Center-Iran Desk (Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs)
Brig.-Gen. (ret.) Dr. Shimon Shapira, a senior researcher at the Jerusalem Center, served as Military Secretary to the Prime Minister and as chief of staff to the Foreign Minister. Lt.-Col. (ret.) Michael (Mickey) Segall, an expert on strategic issues with a focus on Iran, is a senior analyst at the Jerusalem Center. |
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