Prepared for the
Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations in association with Access/Middle East by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs
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To contact the Presidents Conference: [email protected]
In-Depth Issue:
Iraq's WMD in Syria - Richard Sale (UPI)
New Tape Shows Saddam Admitting Defeat (AP/FOX News)
British Terrorists Smuggled Explosives Inside Koran - Herb Keinon (Jerusalem Post)
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News Resources - North America and Europe:
Secretary of State Powell said he told Syrian President Assad in Damascus on Saturday that his support of terrorist groups, including harboring Palestinian organizations engaged in terror attacks against Israelis, "makes it hard to move forward on the Middle East peace process. These things have to come to an end." Assad responded, Powell said, that he would close the groups' offices and "indicated he would constrain their activities." The USA Patriot Act, passed after the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks to crack down on terrorists, includes penalties against countries that refuse to interrupt terrorist financing within their borders. (AP/Washington Post) See also Militant Groups in Syria Dispute Reports of Ousting (New York Times); Demonstrators Urge Powell to Ask for Syrian Pullout from Lebanon During Secretary of State Powell's stopover in Lebanon on Saturday, hundreds of anti-Syrian demonstrators marched through downtown Beirut carrying banners calling on Syria to withdraw its more than 20,000 troops from the country. (Channel NewsAsia-Singapore) U.S. and Pakistani authorities have broken up an al Qaeda plan to fly an explosives-laden aircraft into the U.S. consulate in Karachi, a suicide plot reminiscent of the Sept. 11, 2001, attacks, showing that the weakened terrorist network is still capable of pursuing serious assaults, officials said Friday. Arrests earlier this week in Karachi of six suspected al Qaeda members led to the discovery of hundreds of pounds of high explosives, as well as grenades, assault rifles, and detonators hidden in several different caches. "Operatives were planning to pack a small fixed-wing aircraft or helicopter with explosives and crash it into the consulate," according to an advisory posted on the Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association website. (Washington Post) News Resources - Israel, the Mideast, and Asia:
Prime Minister Ariel Sharon told U.S. envoy William Burns on Sunday that the new Palestinian Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) must work to dismantle the terrorist infrastructure in the West Bank and Gaza Strip. Government sources confirmed Sunday that Sharon would meet Abbas next week. The two have met several times in the past. (Ha'aretz) Initial signs from the Gaza Strip indicate that new Palestinian Authority security chief Muhammad Dahlan is not bent on confronting the terrorist organizations, but rather wants to bring them under his wings, Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom told the cabinet on Sunday. He said Dahlan is trying to convince the terrorist groups that it is in the Palestinian national interest to refrain from attacks. Shalom told the cabinet that PA Prime Minister Abbas, before beginning to work on the road map, will want to strengthen his position vis-a-vis Arafat and opposition Palestinian groups. Only after he has established his hold on power, Shalom said, would he be able turn to negotiations with Israel. Defense Minister Shaul Mofaz told the cabinet that as long as the PA does not actively wage a war against the terrorist infrastructure, Israel will continue to do so on its own. Mofaz told the cabinet there has recently been a wave of attempted attacks, supported by Teheran and Damascus, the vast majority of which have been foiled by the IDF. (Jerusalem Post) Some 50,000 Palestinians poured out of Gaza City's mosques after Friday prayers, straight into a huge funeral procession for 12 Palestinians who were killed in the IDF raid on one of the city's neighborhoods on Thursday. The procession, led by hundreds of masked and armed Palestinians belonging to Hamas, Islamic Jihad, and Fatah, turned into a huge rally against Palestinian Prime Minister Mahmoud Abbas (Abu Mazen) and the U.S. road map for peace in the Middle East. (Jerusalem Post) Five different Palestinian Authority security organizations - General Intelligence, the National Security Forces, Force 17, Military Intelligence, and the naval forces - remain under the direct command of Arafat, in the first substantial breach of one of the important security clauses of the U.S. road map. The Interior Ministry, where Mohammed Dahlan is minister for state affairs, has authority over just two security organizations. Under such circumstances, Abu Mazen's chances of eradicating terror are very slim. One way for Israel and the Americans to tackle this problem would be to resort to the old system adopted in the wake of the Oslo accords, when the approach was to disregard various violations and take solace in the fact that progress in general was being made in implementing the agreements. In retrospect, this approach was clearly a big mistake that constituted one of the principal causes for further violations and the failure of the Oslo accords. (Ha'aretz) The IDF suspects that British photographer James Miller, 35, was fatally shot by Palestinians, and not Israeli forces, in the southern Gaza Strip town of Rafah on Friday night, a military source said Sunday. "An IDF doctor arrived at the scene shortly after James Miller was fatally wounded. The doctor identified the bullet wound as having entered from Miller's left rear shoulder," the source said. "There was only Palestinian gunfire coming from a house which was behind Miller's position. Based on these initial details we are almost certain that Miller was shot from behind by Palestinian terrorists." (Jerusalem Post) Labor Party Chairman Amram Mitzna announced Sunday that he is stepping down as party leader. (Ha'aretz) Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis (Best of U.S., UK, and Israel):
Whether Mahmoud Abbas will ultimately become the first prime minister of a new, independent Palestinian state will depend on whether he can, in his words, stop the "armed chaos." He faces several obstacles. Arafat will continue to resist any efforts that erode his power and build Abbas'. He will seek to block efforts to confront Hamas, Islamic Jihad, or the Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigade - and, indeed, has already opposed disarming the Al Aqsa Martyrs Brigade. Sheik Ahmed Yassin, the spiritual head of Hamas in Gaza, has already rejected the idea that Hamas will give up its arms or its violent struggle. Abbas must be able to stop or at least profoundly curtail the violence. He must reach concrete understandings with the Israelis on security - what he will do, when he will do it, how and where he will do it. (Los Angeles Times) The "road map" for Mideast peace unveiled last week by the Bush administration includes elements long resisted by successive Israeli governments, and normally, Israel's formidable allies would be expected to deploy in strength in Congress and inside the administration itself to defuse pressure for tough concessions. But the pro-Israel lobby is reluctant to confront Israel's benefactor as he emerges victorious from the war in Iraq. What's more, Bush's friendship is treasured by Israeli Prime Minister Ariel Sharon, who has asserted that no American president has been as supportive of Israel's interests. So when the administration's plan was released, Israel politely welcomed it - with reservations - as did its allies in Washington. "A lot of people, including many right-wing Israelis, think: 'This isn't going anywhere, so we don't have to get upset,'" said Prof. Marshall Breger, who was President Reagan's liaison with the American Jewish community. (Los Angeles Times) Observations: The Most Effective Peace Process - Saul Singer (Chicago Sun-Times)
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