Prepared for the
Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs
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To contact the Presidents Conference: click here In-Depth Issues:
Syria Bolstering Intelligence Forces in Lebanon
- Shlomo Shamir (Ha'aretz)
Hizballah Finances: Funding the Party of God -
Matthew Levitt (Washington Institute for Near East Policy)
PA Officials Decry Growing Chaos - Khaled Abu Toameh (Jerusalem Post)
Second Annual IDF Conference on Low Intensity Conflict - Arieh O'Sullivan (Jerusalem Post)
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News Resources - North America, Europe, and Asia:
In Beirut, tens of thousands of people took to the streets on Monday in the biggest protests since the death of Rafik Hariri. They repeated accusations that Syria was responsible for the killing. Hizballah is expected to hold a pro-Syrian mass demonstration on Tuesday. (New York Times) Syrian Intelligence, headed by Brig-Gen. Rustom Ghazali, is thought to have about 20 offices in Lebanon as well as officers stationed in strategic places, such as the Defense Ministry and Beirut international airport. Last September Lebanese Prime Minister Rafik Hariri, whose murder last month sparked anti-Syrian protests, returned from holiday with his shoulder in a cast. His press office said he had slipped in the bath. But a rumor soon circulated around Beirut that his injury was caused by Gen. Ghazali, who had smashed his shoulder with a rifle butt. "It is the gross interference of Syrian intelligence agents, and their Lebanese counterparts, in almost every aspect of Lebanese life that has rallied the opposition and created a strong current of anti-Syrian opinion," wrote Patrick Seale in Beirut's Daily Star last week. (Times-UK) See also Syria is Playing for Time and Must Leave Lebanon Now - Editorial Syria must leave Lebanon immediately. It must pull out not only every soldier, but also every agent of its murky security services. The outside world should keep up the pressure on Damascus; delay, deception, and backsliding are an ingrained part of Syria’s conspiratorial culture. (Times-UK) President Bush on Monday nominated State Department official John R. Bolton to be U.S. ambassador to the UN. Bolton is seen as having close ties to Israel, particularly on intelligence matters. Israeli Foreign Minister Silvan Shalom, during a visit to the UN on Monday, praised Bolton's aggressive stand on trying to rid Iran of its suspected nuclear weapons program, and called him an "honest guy." (Los Angeles Times) See also Bush's Choice for UN Comes with Strong Pro-Israel Record - Matthew Berger In 1991, as assistant secretary of state for international organizations, Bolton was the principal architect behind an initiative to repeal a UN resolution that equated Zionism with racism. (JTA) News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
Israeli Defense Minister Mofaz and PA Chairman Abbas will discuss Tuesday the transfer of security control of the West Bank city of Tulkarm, Israeli security officials said Monday. In Tulkarm Monday, Palestinian forces marched in formation and conducted martial-arts exercises. At one point, the soldiers formed a human pyramid and cried out "Jerusalem is ours!" Later, the soldiers jumped headfirst through a smoldering hoop lined with a flaming cloth. Giora Eiland, Sharon's national security adviser, told AP that Israel is concerned that Palestinian militant groups have taken advantage of the recent lull in fighting to regroup. (Ha'aretz) After Palestinian gunmen wounded two Israelis in an ambush near the Tomb of the Patriarchs in Hebron Monday, Prime Minister Sharon told the Knesset: "This attack again underscores Israel's unequivocal stand that in order to end terrorism, we must fight a determined battle against the terrorists, those who dispatch them, and those who finance them....We will continue to uphold the rights of all people to pray at the Tomb of the Patriarchs and we will not tolerate attempts by the terrorist organizations to prevent Jews from doing so. Jews will continue to pray at the Tomb of the Patriarchs in Hebron and to live there." (Prime Minister's Office) The Palestinians have always attacked Israel's Arabic language television and radio stations for using the word mukhariboon [saboteurs] to describe terrorists who launch attacks on Israel. The Israel Broadcasting Authority chose to use mukhariboon instead of irhabiyoon [terrorists] to depict the perpetrators as criminals. As far as Israel was concerned, there was no difference between those who set out to kill innocent civilians and bank robbers or thieves. Last week, only a few hours after the suicide attack in Tel Aviv, PA Chairman Abbas stunned many Palestinian and Arab viewers when he appeared on television to condemn the "saboteurs." Abbas condemned "this act which is aimed at sabotaging the hopes and goals of our people." It was the first time ever that a Palestinian leader had endorsed Israel's terminology. Yet Abbas remains almost a lone voice in the desert. The PA-controlled media did not rush to endorse the term "saboteur." (Jerusalem Post) Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis (Best of U.S., UK, and Israel):
The terror threat posed by Hizballah against Israel is unlikely to disappear in the short- or long-term future even if Syria withdraws completely from Lebanon, according to Col. (res.) Eitan Azani, now a senior research fellow in the Institute for Counterterrorism at the Herzliya Interdisciplinary Center. "The chances are that Syria's intelligence and security apparatus will remain behind, at least for the time being, so there won't be any changes as far as Hizballah is concerned. Even if the security apparatus is also withdrawn it would not be too difficult to smuggle the arms into Lebanon and down to the south of the country," Azani said. Nevertheless, Nasrallah realizes that if the Syrians did leave Lebanon completely and a free and independent government were formed in Beirut, increased pressure would be put on Hizballah to disarm its military wing, he said. (Jerusalem Post) The issue is not whether the basic understanding of contemporary Muslim political legitimacy has been overturned - it has - but how forcefully the regimes in place will resist the growing Muslim democratic ethic. (Weekly Standard) See also Will the Cedar Revolution Spill Over into Syria? - Marc Ginsberg It is looking more and more as though Syria's president, the Levant's callow mischief-maker-in-chief, Bashar al-Assad, has stumbled into a fatal diplomatic vortex - one that could lead to the implosion of the last Baathist regime and the demise of a 24/7 state sponsor of terror. Yet Lebanon's liberation from Syria might increase the already sizable political influence of Hizballah and its principal patron, Iran. Hizballah opposes the creation of a pro-Western, democratic government in Lebanon, and its opposition could produce the very instability that Syria's expulsion was meant to prevent. (Weekly Standard) See also Assad Offers Defiance and Compliance - Rami G. Khouri A key element in the Syrian strategy - now as in the past - is to make limited concessions to relieve the pressure on Damascus, gain some time, and allow the context of the political face-off to evolve in its favor. (Beirut Daily Star) Observations:
New York Times' Public Editor on the "T-Word" - Daniel Okrent
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