Prepared for the
Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs
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To contact the Presidents Conference: click here In-Depth Issues:
Syrian Army at its Highest State of Alert - Gideon Alon (Ha'aretz)
Ahmadinejad: "Lebanon Is the Scene of an Historic Test which will Determine the Future of Humanity" (MEMRI)
Shin Bet Warning Families of Palestinian Terrorists Ahead of Airstrikes - Avi Issacharoff and Yuval Azoulay (Ha'aretz)
Hizballah and Main Street - Diana West (Washington Times)
Hizballah Gives Guided Tours to Foreign Journalists - Howard Kurtz (CNN)
Army of Volunteers Strengthens Northern Residents - Rebecca Anna Stoil (Jerusalem Post)
Hewlett-Packard to Buy Israeli Software Company Mercury for $4.5 Billion (Bloomberg)
Useful Reference: Video: Prime Minister Olmert Addresses Visiting American Jewish Leadership (Jerusalem on Line) Search Key Links Media Contacts Back Issues Fair Use
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News Resources - North America, Europe, and Asia:
Hizballah leader Sheik Hassan Nasrallah, speaking on al-Manar television, vowed that his fighters would begin firing rockets deeper into Israel, beyond the northern port city of Haifa which has suffered under hundreds of Hizballah barrages. (AP/Forbes) See also Assessment: Nasrallah Is in the Iranian Embassy in Beirut - Ben Caspit The latest intelligence assessment in Israel is that Nasrallah is hiding in the basement of the Iranian Embassy in Beirut. Even though there is no final determination, more and more Israeli officials are pointing at the Iranian Embassy, which is under Iranian sovereignty and benefits from diplomatic immunity like all embassies. (Maariv-Hebrew, 26Jul06) See also Nasrallah's Hizballah Seeks to Survive Israel's Offensive Nasrallah sought to ensure his group's survival in Lebanon by lowering the bar for what would constitute victory, in a television interview broadcast Friday. He defined victory as a successful defense, and has not shied away from acknowledging the gravity of defeat. "A defeat in Lebanon will end the region's resistance movements, the Palestinian cause, and impose Israel's conditions for a (Middle East) settlement," he warned. "We love martyrdom," he said Friday, "but we take precautions to deny the enemy an easy victory." A defeat on the battlefield, so long as Hizballah is seen to have put up a good fight, could give Nasrallah heroic status. (AFP/Khaleej Times-Dubai) See also Lebanese Druze Leader Challenges Nasrallah's Heroism (MEMRI) Israel aims to clear a 15-square-mile, Shiite-dominated region that is the center of Hizballah operations. One could claim Israeli operations have thus far "failed" to slow Hizballah rocket fire, but the truth may be that Israel is allowing that fire as long as it opens the way for a fruitful response. Hizballah fires rockets, exposing their positions. Israeli drones and aircraft, and counter-battery radars on the ground, track the firings, moving immediately to destroy the long-range launchers. Israeli military officials say they believe they have killed about 100 Hizballah fighters, though U.S. intelligence watchers say that many more are believed to have died in counter-battery attacks and attacks on bunkers and other encampments. (Washington Post) Despite obstacles in forming an international force more effective than the UN observers deployed in southern Lebanon since 1978, U.S. officials say it will happen. "You will hear about the impossibility of deploying an international force almost until the day it is deployed," said a senior administration official. U.S. officials say the biggest issue may be whether the new force would deploy before or after the disarming of Hizballah, which has vowed not to give up its weapons. The force is "not going to shoot their way in," the official said. (Washington Post) See also If Peace Comes, Just Who'll Go In to Keep It? - Tyler Marshall and Tracy Wilkinson "If Hizballah is not disarmed or rejects a cease-fire agreement, then who's going to come in? Nobody," said Robert Hunter, former U.S. ambassador to NATO who now works in the Washington office of Rand Corp. Henry A. Crumpton, the State Department's counter-terrorism coordinator, said he believed the Israeli response was "in some ways just beginning" in degrading Hizballah's combat capabilities. "It's going to take a while, I think, for the Israelis to get in there and deny that space [to Hizballah] in Lebanon." (Los Angeles Times) Israel is demanding that any peace deal with Lebanon includes agreement on international control or monitoring of the country's border crossings with Syria to block the delivery of weapons to Hizballah. Katyusha rockets and other equipment are still being sent from Damascus into Lebanon, a senior Israeli foreign ministry official said Monday. (Guardian-UK) See also Proposed Multinational Force Won't Disarm Hizballah of its Rockets - Aluf Benn, Amos Harel, Shlomo Shamir and Jack Khoury The international force that will be sent to Lebanon following a cease-fire will not be responsible for disarming Hizballah, nor will it be stationed at the border crossings between Lebanon and Syria in order to halt the flow of weapons from Syria to Hizballah, Israeli government sources said Tuesday. CNN, citing Lebanese sources, said that the force will initially comprise 10,000 Turkish and Egyptian soldiers, and will later expand to 30,000 troops from several countries. (Ha'aretz) See also An International Force in Lebanon: Advantages and Disadvantages - Lt.-Gen. Moshe Yaalon and Maj.-Gen. Yaakov Amidror (ICA/JCPA) News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
Fierce battles took place Wednesday between the IDF and Hizballah in the village of Bint Jbail in southern Lebanon, known as Hizballah's capital. At least 25 IDF soldiers were wounded. Brig.-Gen. Gal Hirsch, commander of the IDF's Galilee division, said Tuesday that troops operating in Bint Jbail had discovered war rooms with eavesdropping and surveillance equipment made by Iran, being used by Hizballah against Israel. Also Tuesday, the Israel Air Force destroyed a Hizballah Katyusha launcher that fired 16 rockets at Haifa less than an hour before. According to IDF estimates, more than 120 rocket launchers have been hit by air attacks. (Jerusalem Post/Ynet News) Four UN observers from Austria, Canada, China, and Finland were killed on Tuesday in an Israel Air Force strike in southern Lebanon. Israel said on Wednesday that it regrets the "tragic" deaths of the observers and would thoroughly investigate the incident. UN Secretary-General Kofi Annan called for an inquiry into what he called Israel's "apparently deliberate targeting" of the UN observer force. Dan Ayalon, Israel's Ambassador to Washington, demanded that Annan apologize for the remarks, which he called "baseless." (Ha'aretz) U.S. Secretary of State Rice left Jerusalem Tuesday for an international conference on Lebanon in Rome without a cease-fire or a date of return, but with an Israeli commitment to allow an airlift of humanitarian aid to Lebanon. Israel is not taking part in the Rome conference, largely because of a fear that it would come under great pressure at the meeting to declare an immediate cease-fire. Rice told Israeli Prime Minister Olmert that, although difficult, it would be possible to put together an international force to move into southern Lebanon to help the Lebanese army implement UN Security Council Resolution 1559, including gaining control of southern Lebanon from Hizballah. (Jerusalem Post) Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis (Best of U.S., UK, and Israel):
Hizballah chief Sheikh Hassan Nasrallah now says he informed the Lebanese government of the plan to abduct Israeli soldiers for a subsequent prisoner exchange. Israelis have been taken prisoner before, only to be exchanged in 100-to-1 deals that favor terrorist organizations. Israel's massive retaliatory campaign was probably the last thing Hizballah expected. Western intelligence agencies have reported on Hizballah's 10,000 to 15,000 Syrian-supplied Katyusha rockets and Iran-supplied Fajr missiles for at least the past five years. Israel knew it would have to move sooner or later before Hizballah got 30,000 or 50,000 such weapons, including ones that could reach Tel Aviv, Ben-Gurion International Airport, and Jerusalem. Large swaths of southern Lebanon are a maze of tunnels and foliage-covered revetments that conceal truck-mounted batteries of six to eight Katyusha rockets. Israel's retaliatory campaign will be a long, hard slog and a cease-fire is probably still two weeks away. Israel knows that the NATO force it says it would accept to police a buffer zone is beyond NATO's present out-of-theater capabilities, stretched to the limit in Afghanistan and Africa. Dore Gold, a former Israeli UN ambassador, said Israel "is a convenient surrogate for the larger enemy Iran perceives - the West." Gold says Iran is building long-range missiles to cower London and Berlin, not just Tel Aviv. These missiles are designed to force the Europeans to sit on their hands as Iran takes on Israel with its WMD-tipped 1,300-kilometer Shahab missiles. (UPI) The Israeli military is facing 1,000 hardened fighters and 15,000 reservists - terrorists who have embedded themselves among Lebanon's civilian population. During the six years since Israel unilaterally withdrew from southern Lebanon, Hizballah has dug dozens of bunkers, some as much as 130 feet deep in order to withstand the impact of Israel's bunker-buster bombs. They are fitted with supplies and communications equipment enabling operatives to remain in contact with headquarters and stay below ground. For Israel's military offensive to be a success, it will need to result in the destruction of Hizballah as a fighting force capable of menacing Israel from Lebanese territory. Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni said Sunday the goal is to have Hizballah disarmed either by Israel or an international force. Given the fact that no international force actually exists at the present time, it is up to Israel to do the job. The U.S. and other nations that are serious about defeating Islamofascism have a vital interest in helping Israel succeed in crippling Hizballah and should be generous in providing Israel with what it needs to get the job done. Only if Israel prevails decisively on the battlefield, could an international force (which will have to be a far more serious entity than the ineffectual UNIFIL) actually have a realistic chance of overseeing Hizballah's disarmament. (Washington Times) Hizballah must be disarmed. That is called for in UN Security Council Resolution 1559. The members of the Security Council foresaw that leaving Hizballah armed would likely lead to exactly what has happened. If there is to be an international force - and there should be - its mission should be to disarm Hizballah. Such a force needs to be knowledgeable, strong, and no-nonsense. It has to go in with the expectation that Hizballah will lay down its arms so they can be destroyed. If Hizballah won't do that, the international force has got to have the active rules of engagement and military capability to destroy those weapons. The U.S. should not be part of the international force. The writer is a former U.S. Secretary of State. (TIME) The Lebanese people have watched as Hizballah has built up a heavily armed state-within-a-state that has now carried the country into a devastating conflict it cannot win, and many are fed up. Sunni Muslims, Christians, and the Druze have no desire to pay for the martial vanity of Hizballah leader Hassan Nasrallah. Some even welcome Israel's intervention. As one Lebanese politician said to me in private, Israel must not stop now: "For things to get better in Lebanon, Nasrallah must be weakened further." Even some Shiites are beginning to have doubts about Nasrallah. Hizballah's so-called "security perimeter" in southern Beirut where Nasrallah and his officials lived and worked has been reduced to a smoldering wasteland. Nasrallah is also blamed for the suffering in southern Lebanon. The writer is opinion editor of the Daily Star in Lebanon. (Spectator-UK) Israelis today are overwhelmingly supporting their army's actions. And apart from expressing regret over the loss of civilian lives, they show no sign of wavering. What makes this Lebanon war different from the last one? To begin with, Israelis, too, are under fire this time. During the last few weeks, Hizballah has shot more than 2,500 rockets and mortars at Israel, killing at least 17 civilians, wounding 500, and forcing more than half a million people to flee. The attacks from Lebanon coincided with aggression from Gaza, where Hamas terrorists fired about 1,000 Kassam rockets at Israeli towns and farms. On both fronts, Israeli soldiers were the victims of unprovoked ambushes and kidnappings. And these attacks have come despite the fact that Israel is no longer occupying any part of either Lebanon or Gaza. The war, Israelis now know, is not about borders but about the existence of the Jewish state. The writer, a senior fellow at the Shalem Center in Jerusalem, is currently a reserve officer serving in northern Israel. (Los Angeles Times) Observations: Israel Is Within Its Rights - David B. Rivkin Jr. and Lee A. Casey (Washington Post)
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