Prepared for the
Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs
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To contact the Presidents Conference: click here In-Depth Issues:
Iran Smuggling Uranium from Africa; Iran-Linked Sleeper Cells Eyeing UK Nuclear Plants - Jon Swain, David Leppard, and Brian Johnson-Thomas (Sunday Times-UK)
IDF Broadcasts Hizballah's Dead on Al-Manar TV (Ynet News)
See also Israel Fights Propaganda War Over Phones - Donna Abu-Nasr (AP/Washington Post)
Al-Qaeda Claims Backing in Egypt - William Wallis (Financial Times-UK)
11 Egyptian Students Vanish in New York - Dan Mangan (New York Post)
How China's Secret Deals Are Fueling War - Stephen Pllard (Times-UK)
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News Resources - North America, Europe, and Asia:
The U.S. and France have split over key provisions in a compromise resolution to end hostilities between Hizballah and Israel, according to European and U.S. officials. France wants to incorporate ideas from Lebanon's new proposals, particularly on deploying Lebanese troops alongside a more robust version of the UN force now in Lebanon as a means to expedite an Israeli withdrawal, and settling the status of Shebaa Farms. The U.S. thinks a strong international force needs to be in place before an Israeli withdrawal to ensure that Hizballah is not able to resume control of southern Lebanon or shoot at Israeli forces as they pull out. The Bush administration also does not want to offer more specific language on Shebaa Farms for fear it would be seen as a reward to Hizballah. (Washington Post) Four weeks into the conflict, Hizballah rockets are still raining on northern Israel as the number of Israeli soldiers and civilians killed topped 100 on Tuesday. But Israel is not wobbling. It is almost the reverse. The greater the setbacks, the greater appears to be the country's resolve to finish the job. Support for the war in Israel remains unwavering, with the overwhelming majority of Israelis believing that the war was forced upon them, and that the sacrifices are worth making to destroy Hizballah and avert endless conflict. (Times-UK) See also Left or Right, Israelis Are Pro-War - Steven Erlanger The harder Israel's war with Hizballah has been, the more the public wants it to proceed. The public wants the army to hit Hizballah harder, so it will not threaten Israel again. Within Israel, the sense is nearly universal that this war is a matter of survival, not choice, and its legitimacy is unquestioned. (New York Times) See also 93% of Jewish Israelis Support Lebanon Campaign - Ephraim Yaar and Tamar Hermann The Jewish citizens of Israel currently believe almost unanimously - 93% - that the campaign in Lebanon is justified, according to the July Peace Index survey carried out on 31 July-1 August. (Steinmetz Center for Peace Research-Tel Aviv University) See also Israeli Reservists Ready for Action - Martin Patience (BBC News) Two loud bangs echo through the UN peacekeeping headquarters in the coastal village of Naqoura and twin trails of white smoke are seen curving in a southward direction as Hizballah's latest salvo of rockets streaks across the border into Israel. Hizballah squads are still firing dozens of rockets a day into Israel from locations lying just a few hundred yards from the border. One such position lies between the villages of Naqoura and Alma al-Shaab, where Hizballah over the past three years has established an unseen, but clearly formidable, military infrastructure of weapons depots, tunnels, and bunkers. (Times-UK) See also On the Lebanese Border - Ralph Peters (New York Post) News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
The security cabinet is expected Wednesday to approve an expanded ground operation up to the Litani River, and perhaps beyond. Diplomatic officials said Israel had not come under any U.S. pressure to shelve plans for an expanded operation. According to these officials, the U.S. position that Israel has the right to defend itself was firm. The UN cease-fire resolution is not expected to be voted on until Thursday at the earliest. While the Arab League is trying to alter the resolution, Israel has made it clear that it would not accept a call for an immediate withdrawal of IDF troops. (Jerusalem Post) See also IDF Spokesman's Update: Force Deployment in Lebanon The IDF is currently operating in Lebanese territory with a force of eight brigades, of which three are reserve brigades, along with engineering and armored units, assisted by artillery and air force. Israeli engineering units continue to destroy forward-line fortifications Hizballah erected along the border area. The IDF is prepared to expand its ground activities according to the decision of the political echelon. (IDF Spokesman) Staff Sgt. Noam Meirson, 23, from Jerusalem, was killed Monday in Bint Jbail, a month before he was to get married. Staff Sgt. Malko Ambao, 20, of Lod, who was killed Tuesday near Bint Jbail, immigrated to Israel in 1991 from Ethiopia. Major Yotam Lotan (res.), 33, of Kibbutz Beit Hashita, was a youth counselor. Staff Sgt. Philip Mosko, 21, of Ma'ale Adumim, immigrated with his family from Moscow in 1991. Captain Gilad Balachsan (res.), 29, is from Carmiel. (Ha'aretz) Hizballah fired at least 160 Katyusha rockets into northern Israel on Tuesday. Two people were wounded when a rocket hit a home in the Israeli Arab village of Fasouta. Rockets landed in Acre, Nahariya, Ma'alot, Safed, Tiberias, Kiryat Shmona, and the northern region of the Golan Heights. (Ha'aretz) See also Hizballah Fires Long-Range Rockets at Israel Wednesday A Syrian-made 302-mm Khaibar-1 missile exploded in Haifa Wednesday. Earlier, Hizballah terrorists in Lebanon fired four long-range rockets that landed between Beit Shean and Afula. The Israel Air Force immediately destroyed the launchers used to fire the rockets, near Tyre. Palestinian sources said five rockets landed in a Palestinian village in the West Bank. (Ynet News/Jerusalem Post) IDF reservists took captive two Hizballah terrorists Monday in Bint Jbail as they were setting up anti-aircraft missiles to use against Israeli aircraft. (Jerusalem Post) See also Anti-Aircraft Missiles Shot at IDF Planes At Least Once a Day - Tovah Dadon Israel Air Force commander Col. A. said in a press conference that "at least once a day, Soviet or Iranian-made anti-aircraft missiles are being launched at IDF planes." (Ynet News) Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis (Best of U.S., UK, and Israel):
When the UN passes a resolution sometime this week, Israel can prepare for continued fighting because Hizballah will not stop fighting in southern Lebanon as long as IDF soldiers are there. Therefore, Katyusha fire will continue. The IDF's goal now must be to reduce Katyusha fire and to prevent Hizballah from redeploying in southern Lebanon before the area is given over to Lebanese army and international force control. In order to achieve this goal, the IDF must establish its presence on the ground, in addition to air operations; not at outposts, but troops that will be in motion all the time. The main thing is to curtail further Katyusha attacks. In order to do this we must comb every village in southern Lebanon. IDF soldiers dipping their toes in the Litani River will not help bring an end to the rockets. This can be done by pointed fire from relatively short-range, by IDF forces who have taken critical vantage points near Hizballah staging areas. It is a fact: Missile fire has fallen dramatically in areas the IDF now operates in. This is also true in villages that our troops have only encircled, not entered. Lt. Col. (res.) Ron Ben-Yishai is a veteran military analyst. (Ynet News) An established principle has been that the use of force, once its necessity was determined, should be implemented through a concentration of overwhelming force. While serving as Chairman of the U.S. Joint Chiefs of Staff, Gen. Colin Powell adopted the Powell Doctrine, establishing the principle of overwhelming force as a necessary condition for waging war. Powell described this strategy as used against the Iraqi army in 1991: "First we're going to cut it off, then we're going to kill it." It is evident that this, in its simplest form, should be Israel's strategy against Hizballah. For limited objectives, proportionality may suffice. But when the strategic objectives are far-reaching, as those of the current campaign are, proportionality will defeat its purpose. The removal of Hizballah's rocket threat is not achievable through proportionality or in installments. It is achievable only through a combination of all military actions necessary to destroy the capabilities and infrastructures, including the command system, of the enemy. The entire rationale of deterrence rests on a disproportionate response. Israel must create a situation whereby no residual rocket threat capability by Hizballah remains. Any delegation of the task not completed by Israel to a multi-national force may prove to be a pipe dream. The fate of Hamas in Gaza must be the fate of Hizballah in Lebanon. The writer is the Founding Head of the Institute for Policy and Strategy at the Lauder School of Government, Diplomacy and Strategy of the Interdisciplinary Center Herzliya. (Ynet News) Whether a deal is accomplished with one UN resolution or two may not really matter; nor should things be held up on the question of whether the international force is considered an extension of the existing, feckless UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL). What does matter, though, is that the Israelis not be forced to withdraw until a serious new force arrives - one that, unlike UNIFIL, is well-led, well-trained, and able and willing to stand up to Hizballah. Such a force must deploy not only to the south but to the Syrian border as well, to prevent unauthorized arms shipments. Leaving a vacuum for Hizballah almost guarantees renewed conflict, and neither the present UN force nor the Lebanese army acting alone can fill the vacuum. (Washington Post) See also The Cease-Fire Stakes - Editorial (Wall Street Journal) "What do Americans really think of us?" asks Hizballah member Abou Ali in Sidon. "They think we are like al-Qaeda?" Abou Ali's plans for a new Middle East include a rebuilt southern Lebanon patrolled by the national army, with Hizballah backing, and friendly relations with a neighboring country called Palestine - occupying what is now Israel. He says the Lebanese army may protect Lebanese citizens at the border, but armed Hizballah forces will be right behind them, where they have always been, in towns and villages. (Washington Times) See also Questions for a Multinational Force - Barry Rubin What happens when Hizballah forces resist being disarmed? Would there be inspections of arriving vehicles and planes to see if they are carrying rockets or other arms to Hizballah? If the force found such items, could it confiscate them? If the force comes across Hizballah or other terrorists in southern Lebanon, does it shoot at them or just write a report? Will the force destroy any fortifications Hizballah tries to rebuild in southern Lebanon? (Jerusalem Post) Observations: The Struggle Against Islamic Fascism - President George Bush (White House) President Bush said Monday:
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