Prepared for the Conference of Presidents of Major American Jewish Organizations by the Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs
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In-Depth Issues:
Man Convicted of Building Terrorist Training Camp in U.S. - Carrie Johnson (Washington Post)
Ten Arrested in UK Anti-Terrorism Raids "Linked to Al-Qaeda" - Fran Yeoman (Times-UK)
Al-Qaeda Suspects "Plotted Attack on Britain" from Behind Bars - Nick Squires and Duncan Gardham (Telegraph-UK)
Five Men Convicted in Miami Terrorism Trial - Vanessa Blum (Los Angeles Times)
Israel Marks Lag B'Omer (JTA)
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A recent poll shows that President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad is leading Iran's presidential election race by a big margin, Iran's satellite Press TV reported Tuesday. "The opinion poll conducted in Tehran as well as 29 other provincial capitals and 32 important cities on May 3-4 indicates that 58.6% will cast their ballots in favor of Ahmadinejad, while some 21.9% will vote for [Mir-Hossein] Mousavi." In another more recent poll carried out in Tehran, 44.8% said they would opt for the incumbent president while 29% percent said they would pick Mousavi. (Xinhua-China) See also Khamenei Offers Implicit Support to Ahmadinejad Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei on Tuesday offered his implicit support to President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for the June 12 presidential election. "We should elect those who have popular support and who live in a simple and modest way," Khamenei said in an apparent reference to Ahmadinejad who is known for his modest style of living. (AFP) The U.S. won a seat on the UN Human Rights Council on Tuesday, as the General Assembly re-elected other nations to the 47-member body which have been condemned by human rights organizations for abusing their own citizens, including Cuba, China, Saudi Arabia, Russia and Cameroon. "While we recognize that the Human Rights Council has been a flawed body that has not lived up to its potential, we are looking forward to working from within with a broad cross section of member states to strengthen and reform the council," said Susan E. Rice, the American ambassador. (New York Times) Pope Benedict XVI traveled Wednesday to Bethlehem, where he told Palestinians they had a right to a sovereign homeland "in the land of your forefathers, secure and at peace with its neighbors, within internationally recognized borders." He also urged young Palestinians to "have the courage to resist any temptation you may feel to resort to acts of violence or terrorism." (New York Times) "[Israeli Prime Minister] Netanyahu will insist on Israel's right to construct within existing settlement blocs in order to sustain their natural growth," Zalman Shoval, a close confidante of Netanyahu and former Israeli ambassador to Washington, said Tuesday. "He will also make a clear commitment not to build new settlements." Netanyahu will argue that President George W. Bush said in a letter to former Prime Minister Ariel Sharon in 2004 that large settlement blocs will remain under Israeli control in any future peace deal. "The previous U.S. administration made a clear commitment on the large settlement blocs. It is not possible not to build there," Shoval said. (AFP) Markets in Iran are now saturated year-round with Chinese pears, Pakistani tangerines, French apples and Chilean pomegranates. All this abundance comes at a cost. Iranian farmers say the government has wasted windfall oil earnings and stoked an import-led boom rather than encouraging domestic food producers. Local media have reported that Iranian cattle farmers are facing bankruptcy because of imports of cheap red meat and dried milk at rates less than half local prices. Rice growers in the Caspian region say they cannot compete with cheap imports from Pakistan. The agricultural trade balance came in at a record deficit of about $9 billion for the last Iranian year. The figure was $45 million when Ahmadinejad took power about four years ago. (Financial Times-UK) News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
IDF Military Intelligence chief Maj.-Gen. Amos Yadlin told the Knesset Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee Tuesday that the Middle East was not the first priority of the U.S. administration, which was currently focused on Afghanistan, Iraq, Pakistan and Iran. (Ynet News) See also Military Intelligence: Gaza Smuggling Continues Despite Egypt's Efforts - Yuval Azoulay Yadlin also said that while Egypt has increased patrols along its border with Gaza, the smuggling of weapons has continued. "The situation is better than before, but the Gaza Strip has still not been hermetically sealed to smuggling," Yadlin said. (Ha'aretz) Fearing an increase in infiltration attempts by terrorists along the border with Egypt, the IDF's Southern Command recently began constructing a 40-km. barrier fence between Gaza and the Israeli border town of Nitzana to the south. The border with Egypt, over 200 km. long, is Israel's most porous frontier and is marked only in certain sections by a regular fence lacking electronic sensors. The section being sealed off is used frequently by drug smugglers and refugees to enter Israel. (Jerusalem Post) Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis (Best of U.S., UK, and Israel):
In a highly publicized recent statement, White House Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel linked American efforts to stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons to Israeli efforts toward establishing a Palestinian state. This is dangerous. It will be far easier for Israel to make peace with the Palestinians if it did not have to worry about the threat of a nuclear attack or a dirty bomb. It will also be easier for Israel to end its occupation of the West Bank if Iran were not arming and inciting Hamas, Hizbullah and other enemies of Israel to terrorize Israel with rockets and suicide bombers. If there is any linkage, it goes the other way - defanging Iran will promote the two-state solution. Israelis have been scarred by what happened in Gaza. Israel ended the occupation, removed all of the settlers, and left behind millions of dollars worth of agricultural and other facilities designed to make Gaza into an economically-viable democracy. Land for peace is what they sought. Instead they got land for rocket attacks against their children, their women and their elderly. No one wants to see a repeat of this trade-off. (New York Post) Americans can fight the war on terror by stopping businesses from investing in terror-sponsoring states. On May 1, Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels signed a law that divests his state's public pension systems from companies doing business with the Islamic Republic of Iran and the Syrian Arab Republic. Indiana previously divested from the Islamic Republic of Sudan in 2007. A Florida law requires police and firefighters' pension funds to withdraw their money from firms with active business ties to Iran and Sudan, and requires the state to provide a "terror-free" investment option for state employees participating in Florida's defined-contribution retirement plan. California, New Jersey and Pennsylvania have also adopted laws to divest. These admirable efforts demonstrate how Americans across the country can take the fight to terrorist states. (Washington Times) Christians used to be a vital force in the Middle East. They dominated Lebanon and filled top jobs in the Palestinian movement. In Egypt, they were wealthy beyond their number. In Iraq, they packed the universities and professions. But as Pope Benedict XVI wends his way across the Holy Land this week, he is addressing a dwindling and threatened Christian population driven to emigration by political violence, lack of economic opportunity and the rise of radical Islam. A region that a century ago was 20% Christian is about 5% today and dropping. In Lebanon, Christians now amount to a quarter of the population. A century ago there were millions of Christians in what is today Turkey; now there are 150,000. In Bethlehem, Christians now make up barely a third of the population after centuries of being 80%. Of the 1.4 million Christians in Iraq in 2003, nearly half have fled. (New York Times) See also Some Truths about Palestinian Christians - Seth J. Frantzman (Jerusalem Post) Observations: Iran Has Changed the Middle East Security Agenda - IDF Brig. Gen. Michael Herzog (Washington Institute for Near East Policy)
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