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(Ynet News) Amos Yadlin - The Iranian strategy in the negotiations with the world powers is to preserve and maximize their achievements and to minimize the concessions. So instead of accepting the powers' demand to alter the Arak reactor so that it would not be able to produce fissile material for a bomb, Iran is offering technical changes which will reduce the production ability, but will not abolish it. Such technical changes are reversible in case of an Iranian decision to violate the agreement. The American focus is on a tight system of inspection in order to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon in the future, but it is insufficient. International inspection systems have always failed. They already failed in the past to discover on time the efforts made by Iraq, Libya, North Korea, Syria and Iran to secretly develop a military nuclear program. There is a need, therefore, to agree on parameters which will keep Iran away from the bomb by extending the time required to develop a nuclear weapon if it decides to expel the inspectors. The powers must demand that Iran dissolve most of the centrifuges and leave a symbolic number of non-advanced centrifuges. They must demand that the uranium enrichment stockpile in Iran will be limited to a low level, less than the amount required for one bomb. They must also demand the dismantlement of the enrichment site inside a mountain near Qom, and demand that the Arak reactor be altered so that it would not be used for military purposes. Maj.-Gen. (res.) Amos Yadlin, former head of the IDF Military Intelligence Directorate, serves as director of Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies (INSS). 2014-04-25 00:00:00Full Article
World Powers Must Reject Iranian Offer
(Ynet News) Amos Yadlin - The Iranian strategy in the negotiations with the world powers is to preserve and maximize their achievements and to minimize the concessions. So instead of accepting the powers' demand to alter the Arak reactor so that it would not be able to produce fissile material for a bomb, Iran is offering technical changes which will reduce the production ability, but will not abolish it. Such technical changes are reversible in case of an Iranian decision to violate the agreement. The American focus is on a tight system of inspection in order to prevent Iran from developing a nuclear weapon in the future, but it is insufficient. International inspection systems have always failed. They already failed in the past to discover on time the efforts made by Iraq, Libya, North Korea, Syria and Iran to secretly develop a military nuclear program. There is a need, therefore, to agree on parameters which will keep Iran away from the bomb by extending the time required to develop a nuclear weapon if it decides to expel the inspectors. The powers must demand that Iran dissolve most of the centrifuges and leave a symbolic number of non-advanced centrifuges. They must demand that the uranium enrichment stockpile in Iran will be limited to a low level, less than the amount required for one bomb. They must also demand the dismantlement of the enrichment site inside a mountain near Qom, and demand that the Arak reactor be altered so that it would not be used for military purposes. Maj.-Gen. (res.) Amos Yadlin, former head of the IDF Military Intelligence Directorate, serves as director of Tel Aviv University's Institute for National Security Studies (INSS). 2014-04-25 00:00:00Full Article
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