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(BICOM) Brig.-Gen. (res.) Michael Herzog - The choice posited by the Americans between a war and a deal is false. There are specific elements that could still be improved with strong U.S. deterrence, including a credible military option, and international unity. While the U.S. argues that this deal may empower moderates, most Israeli analysts believe it is more likely to empower hardliners and Iranian destabilizing policies in the region. Israel, major European actors and the U.S. should also hold a close dialogue on how to deter Iran from pursuing its hegemonic regional agenda from a strengthened economic and political position after a deal is signed and sanctions are lifted. They should also consider how to prevent a regional race for nuclear capability. Contrary to the views of some in the West, there is little room for strategic partnership with Iran, given their contrasting vision of the Middle East with respect to sectarianism, inclusion, human rights, democracy, and the use of violence. The writer served as chief of staff and senior military aide and advisor to four Israeli ministers of defense in the last decade and was previously the head of the IDF's Strategic Planning Division. 2015-06-26 00:00:00Full Article
Red Lines and Pitfalls for the Iran Deal
(BICOM) Brig.-Gen. (res.) Michael Herzog - The choice posited by the Americans between a war and a deal is false. There are specific elements that could still be improved with strong U.S. deterrence, including a credible military option, and international unity. While the U.S. argues that this deal may empower moderates, most Israeli analysts believe it is more likely to empower hardliners and Iranian destabilizing policies in the region. Israel, major European actors and the U.S. should also hold a close dialogue on how to deter Iran from pursuing its hegemonic regional agenda from a strengthened economic and political position after a deal is signed and sanctions are lifted. They should also consider how to prevent a regional race for nuclear capability. Contrary to the views of some in the West, there is little room for strategic partnership with Iran, given their contrasting vision of the Middle East with respect to sectarianism, inclusion, human rights, democracy, and the use of violence. The writer served as chief of staff and senior military aide and advisor to four Israeli ministers of defense in the last decade and was previously the head of the IDF's Strategic Planning Division. 2015-06-26 00:00:00Full Article
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