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Iran Can Have Enough Explosive Material for Five Nuclear Weapons in Six Months

(Institute for Science and International Security) David Albright and Sarah Burkhard - Iran's breakout timeline is now at zero. It has enough 60%-enriched uranium to fashion a nuclear explosive. Within a month, it could produce enough weapon-grade uranium for a second nuclear explosive from its existing stock of 20%-enriched uranium. Within 1.5 months, it could have enough for a third nuclear weapon. In 2.75 months it could have enough for a fourth bomb and in six months have enough for a fifth. With these capabilities, it could test a nuclear explosive underground or deploy a crude nuclear weapon within several months, certainly within six months, and deploy nuclear weapons on ballistic missiles in a year or two. It is time to recognize that only the toughest type of pressure, akin to that on Russia today, is going to convince Iran not to build nuclear weapons.
2022-06-02 00:00:00
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