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Biden's Iran Gamble

(Foreign Affairs) Eric Brewer and Henry Rome - If the Biden administration has given up on reviving the 2015 Iran deal, it has also shied away from heaping economic, political, and military pressure on Tehran, as proposed by many analysts as well as Israeli officials. Instead, it has opted for an attempt to prevent the worst outcomes of the nuclear standoff with Iran while kicking the can down the road on a diplomatic solution. Yet this approach would allow Iran to steadily develop its nuclear program while shaking off its economic and political isolation. Instead of laying the groundwork for a deal that reverses Tehran's nuclear program, this strategy risks cementing Iran's status as a nuclear threshold state. In the coming months, Iran will continue to improve its already advanced nuclear program by expanding its stockpile of enriched uranium, enhancing its centrifuge manufacturing capabilities, and better insulating its facilities from military strikes. Eric Brewer is a Deputy Vice President at the Nuclear Threat Initiative and has served on the National Security Council and National Intelligence Council. Henry Rome is a Senior Fellow at the Washington Institute for Near East Policy.
2023-06-12 00:00:00
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