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The Potential for Political Change in Iran

(Institute for National Security Studies-Tel Aviv University) Dr. Raz Zimmt - The excessive politicization of religion in Iran, the regime's inability to address economic and social challenges, and widespread corruption have together eroded much of the once-widespread public support for the revolutionary regime. The key to initiating political change in Iran relies significantly on the capacity to enlist what Iranian sociologist Hamidreza Jalaeipour refers to as the "silent majority." In July 2023 he estimated that 70% of Iranians comprise this silent majority. They are distressed by the authorities' actions and align with the civic aspirations of the youth. At the same time, they differ in their stance from radical groups that advocate the regime's overthrow through violent means. A notable weakness within the recent wave of protests in Iran was the absence of considerable social and economic population segments, including workers from major industries and the service sectors, who refrained from participating in the predominantly teenager and university student-led demonstrations.
2023-08-17 00:00:00
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