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Hizbullah Not Likely to Rejoin the War Against Israel

(Alma Research and Education Center) Dr. Yossi Mansharof - Hizbullah is fundamentally different after the elimination of Hassan Nasrallah and the organization's top command and control echelon. It seems that its new leader, Naim Qassem, would prefer to focus now on rebuilding Hizbullah's force and rehabilitating the war damage suffered by the Shiite community, the social base upon which Hizbullah relies. Therefore, it is possible to assume that Qassem will not rush to engage Hizbullah in the renewed war in Gaza. As Qassem admitted in an interview with Al-Manar on March 9, it seems that Tehran will likely understand and accept a decision by Hizbullah to remain uninvolved in the fighting until it has addressed the security and intelligence failures that enabled Israel's severe strikes against it. It seems that in light of the severe damage caused to its infrastructure, Hizbullah's social base is not ready for a renewed entry into the war. The financial difficulties Hizbullah is experiencing also weigh on the organization's motivation to re-enter the fighting. The writer is a researcher at the Misgav Institute for National Security and Zionist Strategy.
2025-03-30 00:00:00
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