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(Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs) Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah - Despite international pressure, including from the United States, for quicker disarmament of Hizbullah, the Lebanese government emphasizes preserving civil peace and addressing the issue through dialogue. On the other hand, a fair assessment would be that Hizbullah will not voluntarily lay down its weapons, as it is an extension of Iran's long-term plans for the region and is more beholden to Tehran than to the interests of the Lebanese people. Given Hizbullah's (and Iran's) firm stance against laying down weapons, the Lebanese government's emphasis on dialogue and national consensus, and the complex regional dynamics, the prospects for Hizbullah's disarmament in the near future seem to be close to null. Aoun will do his utmost to evade a clash with Hizbullah and will accept compromises that seem unacceptable today. 2025-05-04 00:00:00Full Article
Disarming Hizbullah: A Middle East Fantasy?
(Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs) Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah - Despite international pressure, including from the United States, for quicker disarmament of Hizbullah, the Lebanese government emphasizes preserving civil peace and addressing the issue through dialogue. On the other hand, a fair assessment would be that Hizbullah will not voluntarily lay down its weapons, as it is an extension of Iran's long-term plans for the region and is more beholden to Tehran than to the interests of the Lebanese people. Given Hizbullah's (and Iran's) firm stance against laying down weapons, the Lebanese government's emphasis on dialogue and national consensus, and the complex regional dynamics, the prospects for Hizbullah's disarmament in the near future seem to be close to null. Aoun will do his utmost to evade a clash with Hizbullah and will accept compromises that seem unacceptable today. 2025-05-04 00:00:00Full Article
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