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(Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs) Oded Ailam - Jordan tries to maintain a strategic partnership with Israel and the West - facing hostile public opinion, Iranian infiltration from the east, and a domestic Islamist resurgence. Iran has lost much of its influence in Syria and Lebanon and is now seeking new routes to restore its "ring of fire" around Israel. Jordan, naturally, becomes a prime target, with a growing presence of pro-Iranian militias at the border with Iraq. Iran's strategy overlaps with the ideological expansion of the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan. Once mainly supported by Palestinians, the Brotherhood has also gained traction among traditional Bedouin tribes, threatening the Hashemite regime's stability. Though Jordan often takes strong anti-Israel stances in international forums, reality tells a different story. Jordan depends on Israel for natural gas, water, and intelligence cooperation. Israel frequently thwarts Iranian plots near Jordan's eastern borders. Given Jordan's fragile status, Israel should reinforce its security and economic ties with the kingdom, but with clear conditions: Support enhanced economic and military aid, especially in Jordan's periphery, where anti-Western sentiments grow, in exchange for Jordan moderating its behavior in international institutions. Open cooperation against Iran, including joint drills, air defense, and regional intelligence sharing. Create Israeli-Jordanian research centers on climate, water, agriculture, and renewable energy, possibly with EU funding. Such partnerships help dismantle anti-Israel narratives. The key is not to corner Jordan but to offer it a dignified way out - gently yet firmly. Israel must understand that its alliance with Jordan is not a given, but it is a strategic asset on multiple levels: geographically, intelligence-wise, and perceptually. The writer, former head of the Counterterrorism Division in the Mossad, is a researcher at the Jerusalem Center.2025-07-17 00:00:00Full Article
Jordan Is a Strategic Asset for Israel
(Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs) Oded Ailam - Jordan tries to maintain a strategic partnership with Israel and the West - facing hostile public opinion, Iranian infiltration from the east, and a domestic Islamist resurgence. Iran has lost much of its influence in Syria and Lebanon and is now seeking new routes to restore its "ring of fire" around Israel. Jordan, naturally, becomes a prime target, with a growing presence of pro-Iranian militias at the border with Iraq. Iran's strategy overlaps with the ideological expansion of the Muslim Brotherhood in Jordan. Once mainly supported by Palestinians, the Brotherhood has also gained traction among traditional Bedouin tribes, threatening the Hashemite regime's stability. Though Jordan often takes strong anti-Israel stances in international forums, reality tells a different story. Jordan depends on Israel for natural gas, water, and intelligence cooperation. Israel frequently thwarts Iranian plots near Jordan's eastern borders. Given Jordan's fragile status, Israel should reinforce its security and economic ties with the kingdom, but with clear conditions: Support enhanced economic and military aid, especially in Jordan's periphery, where anti-Western sentiments grow, in exchange for Jordan moderating its behavior in international institutions. Open cooperation against Iran, including joint drills, air defense, and regional intelligence sharing. Create Israeli-Jordanian research centers on climate, water, agriculture, and renewable energy, possibly with EU funding. Such partnerships help dismantle anti-Israel narratives. The key is not to corner Jordan but to offer it a dignified way out - gently yet firmly. Israel must understand that its alliance with Jordan is not a given, but it is a strategic asset on multiple levels: geographically, intelligence-wise, and perceptually. The writer, former head of the Counterterrorism Division in the Mossad, is a researcher at the Jerusalem Center.2025-07-17 00:00:00Full Article
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