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Lebanon's Government Preparing to Stall U.S. Plan to Disarm Hizbullah

(Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs) Col. (ret.) Dr. Jacques Neriah - Recognizing the significant challenges facing the Lebanese government in disarming Hizbullah, compounded by the risks of renewed civil war or a potential takeover of state institutions by Hizbullah - reminiscent of the May 2008 events when the Shiite militia stormed Beirut and seized control - U.S. mediator Thomas Barrack proposed a phased plan to address the issue. Lebanese President Aoun has told Shiite leaders that the Lebanese government would not proceed with Hizbullah's disarmament unless Israel agreed to Phase 1 of the plan, which requires Israel to cease all military activities - on land, sea, and air - within Lebanese territory. On Aug. 18, 2025, Barrack met with Lebanese leaders, publicly stating that Lebanon had fulfilled its obligations and urging Israel to comply by halting military operations and withdrawing troops. Hizbullah's refusal to disarm until Israel fully withdraws and a collective defense strategy is agreed upon with the Lebanese government poses significant challenges. The writer, a special analyst for the Middle East at the Jerusalem Center, was formerly Deputy Head for Assessment of Israeli Military Intelligence.
2025-08-28 00:00:00
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