In-Depth Issues:
Hizbullah Is Severely Compromised - Ron Ben-Yishai ( Ynet News)
Hizbullah is severely compromised, with intelligence penetrations hindering its operations. This is reflected in the relatively low number of rocket launches, all of which have been inaccurate.
Yet they have not used their precision-guided missiles.
Washington is giving Israel some leeway - but with the condition that it doesn't drag the U.S. into a broader regional conflict.
Residents of Northern Israel Say They Back Another War with Hizbullah - Miriam Berger ( Washington Post)
After 11 months of rocket fire and failed ceasefire talks, many of the Israelis who were evacuated from communities on the border with Lebanon - and some who defied orders and stayed - say they back another war with Hizbullah.
"I think the Israeli army until now has been too patient," said schoolteacher Shelly Liss Barkan, 60, who stayed in Shlomi.
Blinded Hizbullah Terrorists Shouldn't Expect Sympathy in Iran - Michael Rubin ( National Security Journal)
Two years ago, Mahsa Amini, 22, an Iranian Kurdish woman, was beaten to death in custody after being arrested for allegedly violating the Iranian regime's strict dress code.
Outrage exploded across Iran as millions of women and their male supporters poured into the streets in the largest and most sustained protests ever in the Islamic Republic.
Because the regime worried that some of their own security forces would not fire indiscriminately on Iranian schoolgirls, they allegedly imported Lebanese Hizbullah to do their dirty work and reinforce Iran's mechanism of repression.
Iran's ambassador to Lebanon, a post that a Quds Force general always fills, is now blind in one eye after the systematic explosion of Hizbullah pagers on Sep. 17.
Ordinary Iranians look at a Hizbullah member blinded in one eye as a job half done, and a Hizbullah member completely blind as appropriate vengeance for what the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and its proxies did to them.
The writer, a former Pentagon official, is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
Syrians Praise Blows to Hizbullah, Remember Its Atrocities in Civil War -
Lior Ben Ari ( Ynet News)
In Syria, there are many who are glad to see the repeated blows that Hizbullah has received in recent days.
Many Syrians, especially the Sunni population, have not forgotten Hizbullah's brutal role in their country's civil war, where it indiscriminately slaughtered their friends and families.
Hizbullah is blamed for numerous atrocities during the conflict.
The joy on Syria's social media has been unmistakable.
When Hizbullah released the names of senior Radwan Force commanders killed in Beirut, Syrians were quick to react to the announced death of Hussein Ali Ghandour.
Ghandour was known as the "Butcher of Madaya" in Syria - responsible for starving Syrians and burying them alive.
Israel's War Makes Gazans Less Radical - Cole S. Aronson ( Wall Street Journal)
Gazans are being deradicalized. Recent polling suggests that the war is teaching Gazans that terrorism is both futile and costly.
According to the Ramallah-based Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research poll in September, satisfaction with Hamas has declined to 39% in Gaza, and satisfaction with Sinwar to 29%.
Only 39% of Gazans think perpetrating the Oct. 7 massacres was a "correct" decision.
Two other local polling services, Arab World for Research and Development and the Institute for Social and Economic Progress, put Gazan support for Hamas's postwar governance at single digits early in the summer.
Gazans are learning that Hamas is a losing cause, because the group is no match for the Israel Defense Forces.
Most Gazans have been out of their homes for months.
No, Israel's War Against Hamas Is Not Floundering - Col. (ret.) Richard Kemp ( JNS)
The London Times' Middle East Editor Richard Spencer describes Israel's military campaign against Hamas in Gaza as floundering.
The opposite is the reality. In almost a year of fighting on the most complex battlefield in the history of war, the Israel Defense Forces has taken Hamas apart to the extent it no longer presents a serious threat to the Israeli population.
I have met hundreds of Israeli soldiers and commanders in headquarters as well as inside Gaza and on the border with Lebanon as recently as last week.
Everywhere morale was high and conviction in the fight absolute.
There exists a unity I have never before witnessed between the most seasoned generals and the teenagers on the battlefront.
The writer, a former commander of British forces in Afghanistan, was chairman of the UK's national crisis management committee, COBRA.
Pro-Iran Militias in Iraq Claim to Launch 15 Drones at Israel - Lior El-Hai ( Ynet News)
According to reports in Saudi Arabia, Shiite militias in Iraq launched 15 drones toward the southern Golan Heights and along the border with Jordan in the Beit She'an Valley on Sunday.
The IDF confirmed that one drone had crossed into Israel's airspace. No injuries or damage were reported.
Israel to Oversee the Distribution of Humanitarian Aid in Gaza to Prevent Hamas from Controlling It - Lior El-Hai ( Ynet News)
On Sunday, the Prime Minister's Office said the IDF was instructed to present to the government plans to take control of the distribution of humanitarian aid.
Giora Eiland, former head of Israel's National Security Council, said that as long as Hamas has control of the aid, it provides for its forces and markets the remaining supplies, ensuring a steady flow of cash and its continued civilian rule.
Israel Is Leading the Fight of Good Against Evil - Melanie Phillips ( JNS)
Israel's astounding feat in killing or disabling thousands of senior Hizbullah operatives by causing their pagers and walkie-talkies to explode has sent its Western enemies into a frenzy.
In fact, never in the history of warfare has there been a more precisely targeted attack against enemy combatants.
Those accusing Israel of recklessly endangering civilians and escalating the war fail to acknowledge the difference between deliberately aiming to kill civilians and inadvertently causing civilian casualties in a just war of defense.
This is a seismic battle of civilization against barbarism, victim against oppressor, truth against lies.
Lonely Israel is leading the great fight of good against evil, while the so-called civilized world no longer knows what side it's on.
The writer is a columnist for The Times-UK.
Those Who Support Israel's Right to Defend Itself, "But..." - Amb. Michael Oren ( Substack)
Those who condition their support for Israel on the conclusion of a ceasefire in Gaza and the establishment of Palestinian statehood risk reducing that support to meaningless.
Moreover, some imply that, if Israel cannot defeat terrorists without causing large numbers of civilian casualties, it must be defenseless.
Since no one in Washington or elsewhere in the world can prescribe how an enemy that hides behind and beneath millions of civilians can be fought without causing collateral damage, this view effectively neuters the IDF.
The writer is a former Israeli ambassador to the U.S. and Deputy Minister for Diplomacy.
|
|
News Resources - North America, Europe, and Asia:
- Hizbullah Fires 250 Rockets at Israel on Monday, Israeli Planes Target Hizbullah - Patrick Kingsley
Hizbullah launched 250 rockets and other munitions at Israel on Monday in repeated barrages. Most were intercepted by Israel's antimissile defense system, and there were no reports of deaths or serious casualties. The Israeli military said on social media that "over a million Israeli civilians are running to bomb shelters in Haifa as Hizbullah indiscriminately fires rockets."
Israeli fighter jets bombed Hizbullah targets in southern and eastern Lebanon, in what Lebanese officials said were the deadliest attacks since the 2006 Israel-Hizbullah war. Lebanon's health ministry said the bombardment had killed 492 people and injured more than 1,600, but did not say how many of the dead were Hizbullah fighters. Israeli leaders said they were intensifying their attacks on Hizbullah to stop it from firing into northern Israel, which it began doing on Oct. 8.
(New York Times)
See also Israel Says "Large Number" of Hizbullah Forces Killed in Airstrikes
Israel's military said a large number of Hizbullah forces were killed in airstrikes in Lebanon on Monday. "Among those killed were a large number of Hizbullah terrorists who were next to the weapons that we targeted," military spokesman Daniel Hagari said, adding that "secondary explosions" of weapons stores were responsible for some of the casualties. (AFP)
- Israeli President: "We Don't Want War, But If It's Waged Against Us, We Go All the Way" - Margaret Brennan
Israeli President Isaac Herzog told "Face the Nation" on Sep. 22, 2024:
"When you're dealing with terror organizations, they don't really give a damn about international affairs. They take hostages, or they fire as much as they want. They get instructions from Tehran, they send Houthi terrorists to block the high seas, and the cost of living in the world goes up. This is the culture of terror, and it's a terror of jihadists, meaning they don't give a damn about anything."
"We agree, time and again, to go into rounds of talks. We support and welcome the efforts by the United States of America and the administration. Truly. We respect it tremendously. But at the end of it, [American envoy Amos] Hochstein leaves Israel, and they keep on firing and firing, and that cannot go on forever, because our citizens must go back home....We don't want war, but if it's waged against us, we go all the way."
"This morning, they launched a barrage of attacks on Israeli cities, towns and villages all over the northern part of Israel....Why would any decent nation accept it? We're almost a year in such a situation of a kind of vicious cycle. We want to get out of this vicious cycle. And if we have no choice, then we are getting ready for escalation." (CBS News)
See also Israeli President: Slain Hizbullah Commanders Were Planning Oct. 7-Style Attack on Northern Israel - Elisha Ben Kimon
The Hizbullah commanders killed in an Israeli airstrike in Beirut on Friday were meeting to plan an attack akin to the Oct. 7 assault by Hamas, Israeli President Isaac Herzog told Sky News in an interview on Sunday.
"All of these leaders were meeting together in order to launch the same horrific, horrendous attack that we had on October 7 by Hamas - by burning Israelis, butchering them, raping their women, abducting and taking hostage old people and young, and little babies - so this is exactly the same plan that they've been planning for years under the empire of evil of Iran. So we are fighting, actually, the war for the entire Free World." (Ynet News)
- Hate Crimes Against U.S. Jews Hit Record High in 2023, FBI Says - Luke Tress
Jews were targeted in 1,832 hate crimes in 2023, far more than any other religious group and a 63% increase over 2022, according to FBI data released Monday. Jews were targeted in 68% of all hate crimes motivated by religion. Muslims were targeted in 236 incidents. There were 2,002 total offenses against Jews, including 1,000 cases of vandalism, 700 of intimidation, 112 cases of assault and 62 of aggravated assault. There were seven cases of antisemitic arson.
(JTA)
News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
- IDF Targets Hizbullah's Rockets - Nina Fox
The Israel Defense Forces launched a broad offensive targeting Hizbullah's weapons arsenal, IDF Spokesperson Daniel Hagari announced Monday. Throughout the day, Israeli fighter jets and drones targeted 1,300 Hizbullah sites in Lebanon.
Hagari shared an image of a missile stored on the roof of a family home in southern Lebanon. "This missile is ready to be launched from an opening in the roof. Below the attic lives a Lebanese family, used as human shields," he said. Hagari also presented footage of an airstrike on a house in Lebanon, showing secondary explosions from missiles. (Ynet News)
See also Israel: Tens of Thousands of Hizbullah Rockets Destroyed - Yonah Jeremy Bob
Israeli Defense Minister Yoav Gallant said Monday night that the IDF has in recent days destroyed tens of thousands of Hizbullah rockets.
(Jerusalem Post)
- IDF Calls on Lebanese to Leave Homes near Hizbullah Weapon Sites, Prompting Mass Exodus - Lior Ben Ari
Thousands of residents in southern Lebanon were seen fleeing toward Beirut and northern regions on Monday following an unusual warning from the IDF Spokesperson urging residents to distance themselves from Hizbullah weaponry. Social media was flooded with images and videos of the exodus from southern Lebanon.
On Monday afternoon, the IDF issued another targeted warning, to residents of the Bekaa Valley. IDF Arabic Spokesperson Lt.-Col. Avichay Adraee said,
"The IDF does not want to harm you. If you are in or near a building containing Hizbullah weapons, you must leave and move at least 1,000 meters outside the village or go to the nearest central school and not return until further notice. Anyone who remains near Hizbullah members, their facilities, and weapons is endangering their own lives and those of their families." (Ynet News)
- Israel: UN Security Council Must Insist that Hizbullah Leave Southern Lebanon - Tovah Lazaroff
The UN Security Council must act to ensure that the Iranian proxy Hizbullah pulls out of southern Lebanon, Israeli Foreign Minister Israel Katz said in a letter to the council on Monday. "Even before October 8, Israel repeatedly warned the Security Council and UNIFIL about Hizbullah's increasing military entrenchment on both sides of the Litani River. Now, this council must bring about a full implementation of UNSC Resolution 1701 and guarantee that there are no armed personnel, assets, and weapons between the Blue Line and the Litani River, other than those of the Government of Lebanon and UNIFIL."
Resolution 1701 set out the ceasefire terms that ended the Second Lebanon War in 2006. That resolution mandates that no armed actor, such as Hizbullah, is allowed to operate between the Israeli-Lebanese border and the Litani River. (Jerusalem Post)
- Five Hamas Operatives Arrested in Eastern Jerusalem for Financing Terror - Alon Hachmon
Jerusalem Police arrested a prominent Hamas operative in the Shu'afat neighborhood who is involved in laundering money for and financing terrorist organizations. He is suspected of transferring funds through his personal businesses, including a chain of supermarkets. Five Hamas operatives were arrested.
(Jerusalem Post)
Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis:
Observations:
- I spent a lovely Friday evening this summer on a friend's terrace in northern Israel a few km. from the Lebanese border. The scene was idyllic, except for the Iranian missiles falling from the sky and the Israeli rockets flying up to stop them. While U.S. envoys have been unable to stop Hizbullah's attacks through diplomacy, Israelis are demanding action.
- I asked my friend how she and her family, Israeli Christians, got on amid such chaos. "This happens every day," she answered. "You get used to it." Feeling the booms reverberate in my chest, I couldn't understand how. "How will this end?" I asked her. She replied, "We destroy Hizbullah - it's the only way." Most Israelis agree with her, and after seeing the situation with my own eyes, I couldn't help but join them.
- I'd heard the same sentiments two days earlier in Tel Aviv from Brig.-Gen. (res.) Yossi Kuperwasser, former head of research for military intelligence and director-general of the Ministry of Strategic Affairs. He said, "The lesson of Oct. 7 is that Israel cannot tolerate heavily armed radical Islamists on its borders, even if they stay quiet for years. They must be destroyed, preemptively if necessary."
- Israelis almost always prefer quiet "live-and-let-live" deals with their enemies over military confrontations. Harboring no illusions about changing hostile societies through force, they avoid grand adventures and apply violence only in limited circumstances. Yet many in Israel now believe it was their very aversion to war and willingness to embrace a modus vivendi in Gaza that made the horrors of Oct. 7 possible.
- Israel's previous policy had been to contain Hamas in Gaza, periodically degrading its military infrastructure in short wars, yet keeping the Hamas regime afloat with cash infusions from Iranian ally Qatar. "I helped design that policy," Kuperwasser said. "And yes, it worked - until it didn't." But "honestly, what was the alternative: a preemptive Israeli invasion and regime change in Gaza? No one would have supported such a thing before Oct. 7....[Yet] the idea that religious fanatics sworn to our destruction would ever live quietly on our borders was delusional."
- "We need to finish the war in Gaza, turn to Hizbullah in Lebanon - and then to Iran. Whoever wants to destroy us, we must destroy them first. What choice do we have?"
|