In-Depth Issues:
Ayatollah Khamenei Tells Hamas Delegation Their Victory in Gaza Is a Defeat for America ( Tehran Times)
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Leader of the Islamic Revolution, met with top Hamas officials in Tehran and emphasized that the Palestinians' victory in Gaza represented a defeat of the United States even more than it did Israel.
Khamenei quoted the verse: "How many times has a small force vanquished a mighty force by the Will of Allah! (Quran 2:249). You prevailed over the Zionist regime and, of course, over the United States."
Ayatollah Khamenei told Hamas's leaders: "The day will come when all of you, with absolute honor, have solved the issue of al-Quds [Jerusalem] for the Islamic world, and that day will certainly arrive."
Hizbullah's Soul-Searching Reveals Its Defeat - Col. (res.) Dr. Raphael G. Bouchnik-Chen ( BESA Center for Strategic Studies-Bar-Ilan University)
As the formal ceasefire between the IDF and Hizbullah, announced on Nov. 27, 2024, expires, the Lebanese army is delaying taking control of the area south of the Litani River.
Israel has made clear that it will not withdraw its forces from southern Lebanon as long as Hizbullah outposts remain in the area.
There is therefore a chance that both parties will agree to an extension of the ceasefire beyond 60 days.
It appears that Hizbullah's current motivation to resume hostilities against Israel is low.
Hizbullah is trying to broadcast an image of a glorious victory, but with its leader Hassan Nasrallah eliminated by Israel along with the lion's share of its command, and about 2,500 of its field operatives killed as well, boasting about the great defeat of the "Zionist enemy" rings hollow.
Hizbullah acknowledges that the vast arsenal of weapons it had amassed has been substantially eroded by Israel.
This includes substantial damage to the array of ballistic missiles that had been cultivated and maintained by Iran's Revolutionary Guards, both as a means of deterrence and as an Iranian front line for a "second strike" capability against Israel.
The most severe of the many blows Hizbullah suffered was the fall of Bashar al-Assad in December 2024.
For many years, the Syrian regime played a central role in preserving the Shiite "axis of evil" in both logistical and ideological terms, with the goal of maintaining Hizbullah as an active arm against Israel.
No less than this, the dramatic damage Israel inflicted on Iran in the reciprocal attack aimed at its air defense systems accelerated the undermining of Tehran's grip and regional aspirations, particularly in Lebanon.
The Political Shift in Lebanon - Challenges for Israel - Lt.-Col. (ret.) Orna Mizrahi ( Institute for National Security Studies)
The election of Joseph Aoun as president of Lebanon and the appointment of Nawaf Salam as prime minister signal the beginning of a new era in Lebanon and another painful blow to Hizbullah, following its defeat in the war against Israel and the collapse of Assad's regime in Syria.
Hizbullah's weakened position enabled the opposition forces - backed by the U.S., France, and Saudi Arabia - to secure a required majority, even compelling Hizbullah to reluctantly support Aoun, while Salam was elected without Hizbullah's endorsement.
This new leadership in Lebanon presents a potential opportunity for Israel, as both Aoun and Salam share an interest in reducing Iran's and Hizbullah's influence and in disarming the organization.
However, their immediate priority is to rehabilitate collapsing Lebanon and not a direct military confrontation with Hizbullah, which is focused on maintaining its standing and preserving its military power.
The writer, a senior researcher at INSS, served 26 years in the IDF and 12 years in the National Security Council, including as deputy national security adviser for foreign policy.
Younger Gazans Dream of Leaving - Amal Helles ( Sunday Times-UK)
Nadine Abdullatif, 14, a blogger who has 127,000 followers on Instagram, joined half a million people in late January who made the journey back to Gaza City.
Some were quick to turn back around, finding nothing waiting for them.
She said, "The streets I once knew are gone, replaced by rubble. My neighborhood is barely recognizable, houses turned to dust, families are struggling just to survive another day. We wake up, search for water, food, and a way to stay warm."
"People are exhausted. Everyone is focused on their own survival....Everyone in the streets is talking about Trump's statements."
"Some say they will never leave....But others, especially the younger generation, feel differently. They dream of leaving - not because they don't love their land, but because they don't see a future here anymore."
"I am torn. If I had the chance to leave, I probably would."
Gaza-Born Palestinian Politician: How Is This Victory? The Resistance Axis Has Collapsed ( MEMRI-TV)
Gaza-born Palestinian politician Tahani Abu Daqqa, a former Palestinian Authority minister, told Al-Arabiya on Jan. 25, 2025:
"I would like to ask: In what way is this a victory? Perhaps it can be said that the Hamas movement has shown its strength, has proven that Israel could not easily reach the hostages to free them, but ultimately, it was us who were slaughtered. We have become displaced, we have died, we have been humiliated."
"The entire Resistance Axis has collapsed. The Resistance Axis that we used to threaten and intimidate Israel has collapsed."
"The power of Hizbullah, of Syria, and of Hamas, whose weapons frightened the occupation...it is all gone. As far as I can see, we have no Resistance movement left."
U.S. "Maximum Pressure" Announcement Sinks Iranian Currency - Doron Peskin ( Calcalist)
President Trump's announcement of a return to a "maximum pressure" policy on Iran via sanctions caused the Iranian rial to fall to an all-time low, trading at 858,000 rials per U.S. dollar.
Since November, the rial has lost 25% against the dollar.
U.S. Attorney General Establishes October 7 Task Force ( U.S. Department of Justice)
U.S. Attorney General Pam Bondi launched Joint Task Force October 7 (JTF 10-7) on Wednesday to seek justice for victims of the Oct. 7, 2023, terrorist attack in Israel,
address the ongoing threat posed by Hamas and its affiliates, and combat antisemitic acts
of terrorism and civil rights violations in the U.S.
How Western Governments Are Funding the Persecution of Jews - Brendan O'Neill ( Spiked-UK)
The British government helped to fund the persecution of a British Jew. Hostage Emily Damari said she was held in an UNRWA facility for some of the hellish time she spent in Hamas captivity.
The government pumps millions of pounds into UNRWA, used, in part, for the upkeep of buildings like the one in which Ms. Damari was held. Our money went to an organization whose facilities were used to tyrannize a British Jew.
British taxpayers helped to fortify buildings in which Hamas committed war crimes. British taxpayers helped to fund one of the dens of antisemitism in which our fellow citizen was held captive for the "crime" of being a Jew in Israel. Where is the outrage?
Everyone who has been paying attention knows that UNRWA has been thoroughly compromised by its intimate links with Hamas. Other hostages have likewise said they were held in UNRWA buildings.
It's possible some of these hostages were seized by UNRWA's own employees.
Intelligence experts believe that up to 10% of UNRWA's staff in Gaza "have links" to Islamist militants.
A Telegram channel for 3,000 UNRWA-employed teachers had thousands of messages praising Hamas's pogrom.
The liberation of Gaza from both the iron fist of Hamas and the patrician governance of UNRWA is the best thing that could happen to Palestinians.
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News Resources - North America, Europe, and Asia:
- Hamas Releases 3 Frail-Looking Israeli Hostages for 183 Palestinian Prisoners under Gaza Ceasefire - Wafaa Shurafa
Hamas released three gaunt, frail-looking Israeli hostages and Israel freed 183 Palestinian prisoners Saturday in the latest exchange of a ceasefire agreement that has paused the war in Gaza. The hostages' condition and scenes of Hamas forcing them to speak in a handover ceremony sparked outrage in Israel.
Eli Sharabi, 52; Ohad Ben Ami, 56; and Or Levy, 34, appeared in poorer condition than the 18 hostages previously set free. Sharabi's wife and two teenage daughters were killed in the Oct. 7 attack. His brother Yossi was abducted and died in captivity. Levy's wife was killed in the attack. Ben Ami's wife was released during a ceasefire in November 2023.
The Palestinian prisoners released include 18 serving life sentences for deadly attacks on Israelis, 54 serving long-term sentences and 111 Palestinians from Gaza detained after the Oct. 7 attack. (AP)
See also Freed Israeli Hostages Show Signs of Severe Malnutrition, Israeli Health Official Says - Or Hadar
The three Israeli hostages freed Saturday after 491 days in Hamas captivity are suffering from severe malnutrition and significant weight loss, said Dr. Hagar Mizrahi, head of the Medical Division at the Israel Health Ministry.
(Ynet News)
See also Hamas Makes Gaunt Israeli Hostages Thank Captors Before Release - Aaron Boxerman
Hamas released three Israeli hostages on Saturday in a staged handover where rifle-toting Hamas fighters prodded their gaunt captives to give short speeches, effectively at gunpoint, thanking the militants who had held them captive for 16 months. Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Saar said, "The Israeli hostages look like Holocaust survivors." (New York Times)
- Video: Trump's Gaza Plan Is "Not Forcible Eviction, Not Ethnic Cleansing" - Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu interviewed by Mark Levin
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said in an interview aired on Feb. 8: "We got the Abraham Accords because we went around the Palestinians. Because the Palestinians - whether they are Hamas or their competitors, the Palestinian Authority - they both want to see the end of Israel. The only difference is Hamas says, let's do it immediately by terror and military means, and the other guy says, no, let's do it by lawfare, by the ICC, let's put pressure on Israel to withdraw to the indefensible lines where we're nine miles wide."
"We are not going to have an organization committed to our destruction nine miles from the sea. All they have to do is cut us in half and we're dead....After Oct. 7, after the massacre, that's gone. Nobody is going to do that. Nobody is going to give them a Palestinian state. They just had one. It's called Gaza. Under Hamas. That was in effect a Palestinian state. What happened with that? It was used as a springboard in an attempt to destroy us."
"I think that President Trump's proposal is the first fresh idea in years and it has the potential to change everything in Gaza....Gaza is basically a small area, 25 miles from Tel Aviv, which Hamas has used as a springboard for continuous terrorist attacks against Israel. We come in, we smack them and we leave. And we do it again, and they do it again, and it doesn't go anywhere. Now we're going to do something else. We're going to finish Hamas off - and what happens then? Do we leave the people there with all that devastation?"
"Everybody describes Gaza as the biggest open-air prison in the world. You know why? Because they're not allowed to leave?...And in comes President Trump and he says, 'Open the gate, let them leave. And I'll find a place of destination for temporary relocation.'...Not forcible eviction, not ethnic cleansing....All that President Trump is saying is, 'I want to open the gates and give them an option to relocate temporarily while we rebuild the place physically and while we also rebuild it in terms of deradicalization.'"
"Two things that President Trump has been blamed for are totally false. He never said he wants American troops to do the job. We'll do the job. Hamas attacked us. We'll take care of them. We'll finish them off. The second thing, he didn't say that American taxpayers' money is going to do the job. He said he'd get independent financing for it, and I'm sure he will. So I think this is a very, very good, new approach. I think we should pursue it."
"Once you give them the option, they'll leave. You know how I know that? Because I got requests from people in Gaza before the war who wanted to leave, but they were locked in because their neighbor, Egypt, wouldn't open the door. Some of them would bribe the gatekeepers in Egypt, so the very rich got out, but those who wanted to leave couldn't leave. Give them an option. I think that's the right thing to do." (Fox News)
- U.S. Sanctions the International Criminal Court
President Donald Trump on Thursday issued an Executive Order finding that the International Criminal Court (ICC) "has engaged in illegitimate and baseless actions targeting America and our close ally Israel. The ICC has, without a legitimate basis, asserted jurisdiction over and opened preliminary investigations concerning personnel of the United States and certain of its allies, including Israel, and has further abused its power by issuing baseless arrest warrants targeting Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and former Minister of Defense Yoav Gallant."
"The ICC has no jurisdiction over the United States or Israel, as neither country is party to the Rome Statute or a member of the ICC. Neither country has ever recognized the ICC's jurisdiction, and both nations are thriving democracies with militaries that strictly adhere to the laws of war. The ICC's recent actions against Israel and the United States set a dangerous precedent, directly endangering current and former United States personnel, including active service members of the Armed Forces, by exposing them to harassment, abuse, and possible arrest."
"The United States will impose tangible and significant consequences on those responsible for the ICC's transgressions, some of which may include the blocking of property and assets, as well as the suspension of entry into the United States of ICC officials, employees, and agents, as well as their immediate family members." (White House)
See also UK and 78 Other Nations Back ICC after U.S. Sanctions - Gabrielle Weiniger
The UK has joined 78 countries in issuing a joint statement in support of the International Criminal Court after President Trump authorized sanctions against the tribunal's "illegitimate and baseless actions targeting America and our close ally Israel." Germany and France supported the statement, while Italy, Australia and Hungary did not.
(The Times-UK)
News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
- Israel Calls on UN to Condemn Hamas's "Cruel, Inhumane" Treatment of Hostages - Keshet Neev
Israeli Ambassador to the UN Danny Danon wrote an official appeal to UN Secretary-General Antonio Guterres on Feb. 8, calling on him to condemn Hamas's "cruel and inhumane treatment" of hostages following the release of three Israelis on Saturday. "Kidnapped, tortured, and starved, they emerge from captivity thin, traumatized, exhausted, and in pain - victims of a brutal and cynical spectacle orchestrated by Hamas."
"All three were held in isolation...denied humanitarian visits by the Red Cross - a blatant violation of international humanitarian law. For over a year, the international community has been manipulated by a jihadist terrorist group, shielded and protected even within the halls of the UN, spreading false propaganda about so-called 'starvation' in Gaza."
"But the images tell the truth: Hamas terrorists and the Gaza crowd gathered there to humiliate them appear in a very well condition, while the Israeli hostages alone bear the unmistakable signs of starvation. This is clear evidence of war crimes and blatant violations of international law by Hamas, evoking haunting images from not-so-distant history - moments when the world remained silent."
"Hamas has committed crimes against humanity. I urge you to unequivocally and publicly condemn the inhumane treatment of these hostages and demand the immediate and unconditional release of all those still held in Gaza. The world has now seen the brutality firsthand. Silence is no longer an option." (Jerusalem Post)
See also Israeli President Calls Condition of Released Hostages a "Crime Against Humanity" (Times of Israel)
- Egypt and Jordan Favor Hamas's Defeat to Weaken the Muslim Brotherhood - Yoni Ben Menachem
American officials say Trump is serious about his proposal to relocate 1.5 million Gazans to Egypt and Jordan. Behind closed doors, Egyptian President al-Sisi and Jordanian King Abdullah II reportedly favor Hamas's defeat in both Gaza and the West Bank.
Hamas, an offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood, poses a direct threat to their rule, just as the Brotherhood did during the 2011 overthrow of Egyptian President Hosni Mubarak. They see the current war in Gaza as an opportunity to weaken the movement. Any perception of Hamas emerging victorious would embolden Islamist opposition groups and threaten the stability of their regimes.
Publicly, however, both leaders must appear resistant to Trump's plan to avoid domestic backlash and protect their international standing. (Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs)
Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis:
Observations:
- Gaza is not contiguous with the West Bank. By the time Israel decided to withdraw both its military and its citizens in 2005 in the wake of one of the many "peace" agreements with the Palestinian Authority, Gaza was considered a lost cause.
- Egypt doesn't want Gaza. In truth, neither does the PA in Ramallah. Jordan certainly doesn't.
Not a single Arab nation is game to take in Palestinians from Gaza. Small wonder, given the festering terror mire that Hamas and its UN allies have created there.
- Consider Trump's compassionate read on the people of Gaza. He doesn't call them terrorists, or baby killers, or jihadists, or Iranian puppets, all of which too many are, demonstrably. Instead, he bemoans what "this civilization of wonderful people has had to endure."
- Negotiations with Hamas have not worked. Efforts to subsume Gaza under the PA have not worked. Rebuilding has not worked. A "two-state solution" has not arrived, and will not work. There is little reason to believe that replaying the last five-plus decades will yield a different outcome.
- When you teach people hatred for decades, give them the tools of destruction, and radicalize them, they are beyond reach. Gaza is destined to be a terrorist beachhead. To believe that next time will be different - that they won't try to kill Jews, that they'll focus on a decent future for the people of Gaza - is nothing other than ideological laziness.
- What we do know is that Donald Trump in his first term forged the first meaningful peace between Jews and Arabs in decades. And he did it by ignoring the conventional wisdom, the experts, the think tanks, the diplomats and the peace processors. His proposal should shine a light on the bankruptcy of what has passed for a Gaza policy until now.
The writer is a senior fellow at the American Enterprise Institute.
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