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In-Depth Issues:
Iranian Hackers Shut Down UK Power Plant - Tony Diver
( Telegraph-UK)
Iran shut down a British power plant for four days last month in an unprecedented cyber attack.
The attack took place at the same time as a series of attacks on dozens of U.S. wastewater treatment plants in 12 states, causing flooding and a loss of pressure from taps, and forcing some authorities to advise customers to boil their water before drinking it.
Ex-Mossad Official: Turkey Unlikely to Risk Military Clash with Israel despite Erdogan's Ambitions ( 103FM-Jerusalem Post)
Former Mossad counterterrorism division head Oded Ailam told 103FM on Friday that a military confrontation between Israel and Turkey was highly unlikely despite Turkish President Erdogan's long-term strategy of regional expansion.
"Neither side is interested in a military confrontation, certainly not at the present time. That is completely contrary to Erdogan's outlook and to his strategy of creeping annexation."
"Erdogan is not nostalgically longing for the Ottoman era. He has an organized plan of action. His plan is a multiyear one that says, 'I am going to pursue the creeping annexation of entire areas across the region, in Libya, Somalia and Africa, and of course, in Gaza.'"
"He is not going to jeopardize it through a confrontation with one of the greatest powers in the region, Israel, and therefore the chances of a military confrontation are extremely slim, virtually zero."
"Israel did well to draw a clear line in the sand for the Turks. There is a very blatant violation of the status quo here by the Turks. This is an attempt to bring in an advanced system that would have disrupted Israeli Air Force flights to Iran."
U.S. Ambassador to Israel: Turkish Military Was Further South than It Was Supposed to Be - Tobias Holcman ( Jerusalem Post)
Israel "saw the Turkish military moving at a level far further south than they were ever supposed to be," U.S. Ambassador to Israel Mike Huckabee told Al Arabiya on Thursday.
"When Israel sees a military start to build up closer and closer to them, and that the leadership of the country has said, 'we're going to rebuild the Ottoman Empire and take over Jerusalem,' it takes that seriously."
Iran Tells Iraqi Militias Not to Disarm - Elfadil Ibrahim ( Responsible Statecraft)
Esmail Qaani, the commander of Iran's Quds Force, the branch of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps responsible for backing armed allies abroad, met in Baghdad on Aug. 10 with Iraqi militia commanders and officials from the Iran-aligned Shia parties that dominate Iraq's parliament.
Qaani reportedly pressed the militants to keep their weapons rather than hand them to the government.
The Iraqi government, under intense American pressure, has set a Sep. 30 deadline for all militias operating outside state authority to disarm.
Two factions said they would place their weapons under state authority. However, Iraqi media reported that the handover ceremonies involved mostly scrap weapons, and that no independent mechanism exists to verify that heavier weapons, like drones and missiles, have actually changed hands.
Asharq al-Awsat reported that Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf - one of Iran's chief negotiators with the U.S. - visited Baghdad Wednesday and pitched a plan to conceal the factions' heavier weapons or relocate them to Iran.
Complete disarmament of the hardline factions requires two things not currently on offer: Iran deciding the militias are no longer worth protecting, and the Iraqi state actually using force against members of its own governing coalition. The former is unlikely, and the latter could be disastrous.
Iran Can't Expect to Threaten Its Neighbors and then Do Business with Them - Editorial ( The National-UAE)
Years of confrontation, belligerence and revolutionary rhetoric have deepened Iran's international isolation.
That isolation worsened last week, with the UAE - the Arab world's second-largest economy - suspending trade and financial transactions with Tehran.
This development is a direct consequence of Tehran's actions. For years, the Emirates maintained commercial links with Iran even during difficult periods characterized by political tensions.
Pragmatism, however, has its limits. Iran's leaders cannot expect to threaten their neighbors while maintaining the benefits of economic relations with them.
How's the Palestinian Resistance Going? - James Delmore and Walter E. Block ( JNS)
How is the Palestinian resistance going? Is everyone pleased with the results? Has it benefited Palestinian Arabs?
After decades of war, the Palestinian people remain stateless and impoverished. Gaza now lies in ruins after the Palestinians regained control of it in 2005.
With offers of statehood in 1947, 2000 and 2008 turned down by the Palestinian leadership, the Arab world has largely moved on, normalizing relations with Israel without first securing a Palestinian state.
The Palestinians may have won the PR war, but how has that translated into any real accomplishments on the ground?
The uncompromising resistance strategy has been one of history's most expensive strategic failures.
Since 1993, more than $50 billion in international aid has flowed to the Palestinian cause.
The U.S. alone provided UNRWA more than $7.3 billion from 1950 to 2016. Private charities devoted to Palestinian relief collectively raise hundreds of millions more annually.
There are now thousands of careers, institutions and funding streams whose existence depends on the Palestinian crisis remaining unresolved.
The definition of strategic failure is pursuing the same approach, decade after decade, and watching it produce more destruction, more poverty, more displacement and more death than the alternatives you refused to consider.
One definition of mental illness is doing the same thing over and over, and expecting a different result each time. The strategy of perpetual resistance has produced perpetual suffering.
New York Isn't the Same for Jews - Tevi Troy ( Wall Street Journal)
When I was growing up in Queens in the 1970s, about 2,000 Jews would worship on Rosh Hashana and Yom Kippur at my synagogue.
If there were police outside, they were there only to direct traffic, not to provide protection.
This year, every synagogue in New York has a security committee; police presence is a necessity - not because of traffic.
While Jews once felt safe walking the streets of the city - or at least only as threatened as everybody else - now they feel, with good reason, as if they have targets on their backs. In July, 70% of hate crimes in New York targeted Jews.
The pervasive threat is a constant topic of conversation. Why don't comparable non-Jewish institutions need the same layers of security?
What's happening in New York is about more than one mayor running an administration oddly focused on demonizing Israel.
The atmosphere is changing the character of what was once America's most Jewish city and making it simply another place.
The writer is a senior fellow at the Ronald Reagan Institute and a senior scholar at Yeshiva University's Straus Center.
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News Resources - North America, Europe, and Asia:
- Turkey Seeks International Arrest Warrant for Netanyahu over Gaza Flotilla
Turkey said on Friday it would seek an Interpol red notice for the arrest of Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as part of a domestic criminal case linked to the Global Sumud Flotilla sailing towards Gaza in May.
Turkish Justice Minister Akin Gurlek posted on X that Turkey will use all available legal mechanisms to ensure Israel is held accountable for its crimes. Turkey has previously issued domestic arrest warrants for Netanyahu over the war in Gaza.
Responding to Gurlek's statement, Netanyahu's office said: "(Turkish President) Erdogan's pathetic attempt to intimidate the leaders and soldiers of Israel, the only true democracy in the Middle East, will go nowhere." (Reuters)
- UK Insists Israel Halt New Construction next to Jerusalem - Lee Harpin
British Foreign Secretary Ed Miliband said Wednesday that the Israeli government's publication of a tender for 1,200 homes in the E1 area next to Jerusalem "would endanger the viability of a two-state solution." He threatened: "In the coming weeks we will set out a comprehensive set of measures to respond to Israeli government policies." Miliband said he had spoken with Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar, insisting the Israeli government must halt E1 plans immediately and retract the tender. (Jewish News-UK)
See also Israel Responds to UK Criticism of Israeli Construction next to Jerusalem
Israeli Foreign Minister Gideon Sa'ar responded on X to UK criticism of Israeli construction next to Jerusalem:
"I reject outright the statement of the UK Foreign Secretary and the patronizing tone of his words. The Jewish people have the right to live throughout the Land of Israel, just as the British have the right to live in London and throughout the United Kingdom."
"More than a century ago, the Balfour Declaration formally recognized the historic right of the Jewish people to re-establish their national home in the Land of Israel - including in the area in question."
"Britain itself still controls colonial territories thousands of miles from its shores. It is absurd for Britain to lecture the Jewish people about where they may live in their historic tiny homeland, when the Jewish people's connection and right to this land is the most extensively documented of any people in human history."
"There have been no new decisions regarding development in E1. The decision was made on 2025....The UK government's systematic policy of blaming only Israel while ignoring Palestinian extremism has already contributed to a massive wave of antisemitic hatred and attacks against the British Jewish community. Continuing down this path will only make the situation worse."
"The UK government's decision to damage the relationship between our countries is deeply unfortunate. But Israel will not be a passive victim of this policy. Israel will defend its rights, its interests and its people." (X)
See also Understanding Israeli Interests in the E1 Area: Contiguity, Security, and Jerusalem (Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs, 2014)
News Resources - Israel and the Mideast:
- Israel Targeted Syria Airbase over Planned Turkish Troop, Radar Presence - Idan Kweller
The IDF hit the Abu al-Duhur military airbase in Syria after it received intelligence that Turkey was seeking to station a radar and an air defense system manned by Turkish troops there, sources confirmed to the Jerusalem Post.
Israeli sources told Channel 11 that the four IDF strikes were aimed at the base's runway to prevent Turkish troops from landing.
Israeli Defense Minister Israel Katz said Saturday that the army issued a direct warning to senior Syrian officials before the airstrikes. "After the request went unanswered, the prime minister and I authorized the IDF to carry out the strike, which commenced successfully. Erdogan was caught with his hand in the cookie jar and was forced to back down." (Jerusalem Post)
See also Turkey's Secret Military Expansion in Syria - Itay Ilnai
Turkey has steadily cemented its military and diplomatic footprint in Syria. Until last week, Israel had exercised restraint in responding to the sweeping Turkish initiative to funnel an endless stream of military hardware into Syria and cement its influence there.
Israel's top echelon has recognized that abandoning its flawed containment strategy that dominated every front until Oct. 7 is equally applicable to the Turkish juggernaut.
Erdogan is forging an immense military machine armed with strategic capabilities and cutting-edge technology. The lessons of Oct. 7 dictate that adversaries must be judged by their capabilities, not their perceived intentions. Israel acted wisely by delivering a kinetic message to Turkey's expansionist project while it remains in its early stages. (Israel Hayom)
- IDF Accelerates Destruction of Hizbullah Infrastructure in Southern Lebanon - Amir Bohbot
The IDF is increasing its pace of destroying Hizbullah's terror infrastructure in southern Lebanon, focusing on its strongholds in Shi'ite villages which sit along strategic routes and ridges. The IDF has uncovered countless facilities used by thousands of terrorists as shelters for extended periods, allowing them to emerge from hidden positions and surprise Israeli forces.
The IDF is also working to open new routes to provide easier access to operational areas, improve force security, and enable faster supply deliveries.
Israeli security officials claim that the Lebanese army has so far failed to fulfill understandings mediated by the U.S. They claim the Lebanese army fears Hizbullah and is therefore not moving quickly to locate and destroy terrorist infrastructure.
(Jerusalem Post)
- IDF: Hamas Tunnel Commander and Oct. 7 Hostage-Holder Killed in Gaza Strikes - Emanuel Fabian
The IDF said Saturday it had killed Sharif al-Hasanat, a company commander in Hamas's Deir al-Balah battalion.
"Throughout the war, the terrorist led efforts to restore the underground infrastructure of the Hamas terror organization," the IDF said. He posed an "immediate threat to our forces and was eliminated."
On Friday, the IDF said Hamas operative Sobhi Sami Mahmoud Shahtot had been killed in a Wednesday strike in Nuseirat. Shahtot was a Hamas platoon commander who invaded Israel on Oct. 7, 2023. He
"took part in holding numerous hostages in Hamas captivity during the war" and was seen participating in Hamas hostage-release ceremonies. He had recently been advancing attacks against Israeli troops and civilians and was killed "to remove the threat."
On Thursday, the IDF and Israel Security Agency said Hamas has been using Nasser Hospital in Khan Yunis to interrogate and torture Palestinians as it faced an "erosion of support" in Gaza. Hamas had stepped up the activities of its internal security apparatus and was seeking to maintain control through "intimidation, interrogations and torture of residents." Hamas operatives maintained a regular presence in the hospital compound and its use of the medical facility created fear among patients and staff. (Times of Israel)
Global Commentary and Think-Tank Analysis:
Israeli Security
- Defensible Borders after October 7: Why Israel Needs Buffer and Security Zones in Gaza, Lebanon, and Syria - Dr. Dan Diker
The Oct. 7, 2023, Hamas invasion, massacre, and kidnapping illustrated the vulnerability of Israel's narrow borders and lack of strategic depth to prevent cross-border attacks and the commensurate increase in the importance of safe, secure, and defensible borders. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said that one of the central lessons of Oct. 7 was the need for "buffer zones inside enemy territory - not inside our territory."
In the wake of Hamas's surprise invasion, Israel has established minimal security protection zones in southern Lebanon, Syria, and Gaza, ranging from three to 20 km. - to provide strategic depth sufficient to prevent another cross-border invasion and massacre by hostile forces.
President Trump and other U.S. officials have called for Israel to withdraw from these areas in line with negotiated agreements. Yet, the historical record suggests a crucial need for territorial buffer zones enabling Israel, one of the smallest countries in the Middle East, to protect itself.
Under its updated defensible borders doctrine, Israel conditions any withdrawal in southern Lebanon on the disarming of Hizbullah and the demilitarization of the territory. The same principle holds on the Gaza front. The original Trump 20-point plan, vetted and agreed upon by Israel and the U.S., requires Hamas to be fully disarmed and Gaza demilitarized before any further steps toward an Israeli pullback are even discussed.
The writer is President of the Jerusalem Center.
(Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs)
Turkey
- Israel's U.S. Ambassador: Turkey "Crossed a Red Line" in Syria - Amichai Stein
Israeli Ambassador to the U.S. Yechiel Leiter told the Jerusalem Post that Israel had received clear intelligence that Turkey intended to significantly expand its military presence in Syria. "A red line was crossed," he said, following Israel's airstrike on Syria's Abu al-Duhur airbase where Turkish forces were reportedly expected to arrive.
Leiter said the Turkish move contradicted understandings reached during the Biden administration between Israel and Syrian President Ahmed al-Sharaa, which "froze the existing situation." Those understandings were reaffirmed at a meeting in Paris in January 2026 attended by Syrian Foreign Minister Asaad al-Shaibani.
"The freeze means that just as the Turks don't move, neither do we....It is important to understand that while we are sitting on only 78 sq. miles in Syria, in a security zone, the Turks have carried out a creeping annexation of 3,500 sq. miles in northern Syria over the past several years – about 5% of the country's territory. The administration's policy is that the freeze agreed upon in the past will continue, which is why even Trump did not condemn the strike."
"It is clear to us that the Syrians do not want a confrontation with us. That is why we are telling the Turks not to create conflicts. There is more than one indication that the move planned by Turkey was imposed on the Syrians....We want to continue the face-to-face dialogue that we previously held with the Syrians."
"At a time when Turkey is hosting Hamas leaders and transferring funds to Hizbullah and Hamas, Iran's arm against Israel, it is not appropriate for them to begin expanding their influence in Lebanon and Syria."
"I wish we could return to the situation of several decades ago in relations between Jerusalem and Ankara. Then, we would be open to Turkish influence in the region. But it is not logical for Turkish influence in the region to grow while Turkey is funding terrorist organizations." (Jerusalem Post)
Iran
- How to Close the Leaks in Iran's Economic Siege - Shlomi Michaels
The chokehold on Iran is failing because leaks function as a pressure-release valve for the regime.
The leaks in America's economic siege on Iran include the Turkish land corridor, the Iraqi backdoor, and the crypto shadow ledger.
Revenue from Turkish trade, Iraqi transshipment, and crypto liquidity does not merely offset the sanctions. It is disproportionately captured by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), allowing the regime's most powerful internal factions to insulate themselves from the scarcity that the rest of the Iranian economy experiences.
Turkey remains the single largest overland leak in the siege. It persists because individual U.S. sanctions designations have not been backed by consequences the Turkish financial and political establishment actually fears. The objective is to convert isolated enforcement actions into structural risk policed by Ankara's own banking sector.
To neutralize the Iraqi backdoor, the objective is to make Baghdad's continued access to U.S. security and economic support conditional on measurable interdiction of this specific corridor.
Indicators that the strategy is working will be signs that scarcity is reaching the regime's core.
This memorandum lays out the specific U.S. agency-assigned work required to convert a rhetorical siege into an operational one.
When the leaking valves are actually closed, the pressure starts becoming something the regime's own factions have to fight each other over. That fight, not a foreign hand, is what ultimately changes what comes next in Tehran.
The writer is a former senior Israeli security official and adjunct professor at Columbia University. (Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs)
- So Who's Running Iran? - Sogand Fakheri
Since Mojtaba Khamenei was appointed supreme leader of the Islamic Republic in March, he has not delivered a live public speech. Statements have appeared under his name, speeches have been read on his behalf, and officials have repeatedly assured the public that he remains active. Yet Iranians have barely seen him or heard his voice.
Many Iranians therefore believe Mojtaba was killed or left incapacitated during the war.
The question is: who is actually governing Iran, who is issuing orders in his name, and how long can a regime survive when even the condition of its highest authority has become a matter of speculation?
The Islamic Republic built its political structure around the supreme leader as the ultimate authority: commander in chief, final decision-maker, and the figure standing above the elected government. If that man cannot demonstrate that he is exercising power, the regime faces more than a public-relations problem. It faces a crisis at the center of its political system. A system built around one supreme figure cannot indefinitely survive that figure's disappearance.
The writer is an Iran analyst at the Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs. (Jerusalem Post)
- Iran Was a Regional Threat. War with the U.S. Changed That. - Aviva Klompas
Over decades, Tehran built a constellation of armed partners stretching from Lebanon and Gaza to Syria, Iraq and Yemen, what Iranian officials proudly called the "axis of resistance." The strategy threatened Israel, expanded Iranian influence across the region, and allowed Tehran to challenge its adversaries while keeping much of the fighting far from its own borders.
One of the war's most consequential outcomes has been the steady dismantling of the regional network through which Tehran projected power across the Middle East. Today, much of that architecture has been degraded.
Hamas remains in control of parts of Gaza, but much of its senior leadership has been killed, large portions of its military infrastructure have been destroyed, and its ability to rearm and reorganize has been sharply constrained by Israel's operational presence in significant areas of Gaza.
Hizbullah remains dangerous, yet it is no longer the force it was before the Oct. 7, 2023, attacks. The group has also lost much of its senior leadership, including longtime Secretary General Hassan Nasrallah, along with key commanders, weapons stockpiles and infrastructure. Hizbullah now faces growing pressure inside Lebanon from a population increasingly unwilling to see the country's future subordinated to Iran's regional ambitions.
In Syria, the collapse of the Assad government and the emergence of a new political order have severely disrupted the supply lines connecting Tehran to Hizbullah and deprived Iran of one of the central pillars of its regional strategy. In Iraq, Iranian-backed groups face growing demands that armed groups answer to the Iraqi state rather than to Tehran. Only the Houthis retain something approaching their previous freedom of action.
The result is that Iran increasingly finds itself playing defense following the gradual unraveling of the network through which Iran projected power across the Middle East.
The writer, speechwriter for former Israeli UN Ambassador Ron Prosor (2013-15), is CEO and cofounder of Boundless, a nonprofit dedicated to fighting antisemitism. (USA Today)
Gaza
- The Dangerous American Legitimization of Hamas - Amb. Freddy Eytan
Jared Kushner's recent meeting with a Hamas delegation led by Khalil al-Hayya in Egypt clearly breaks with the traditional policy of the American administration. How can Donald Trump authorize direct negotiations with a terrorist organization? America appears to be exhausted, profoundly weary of the various conflicts, particularly those in the Middle East.
Hamas is an offshoot of the Muslim Brotherhood. It still claims the "liberation" of all of Palestine, "from the river to the sea." It clearly means the destruction of the Jewish state. Furthermore, this movement calls for the murder of Jews and glorifies holy war, global jihad. It still considers Israel to be part of "Muslim Holy Land," a territory where Jews have no right to live.
The writer, a researcher at the Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs, is a former Foreign Ministry senior adviser who was Israel's first ambassador to the Islamic Republic of Mauritania.
(Israel Hayom)
Palestinian Arabs
- Palestinians' Preferred Leaders: A Convicted Fatah Terrorist or Hamas - Bassam Tawil
A survey, conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research in the West Bank and Gaza on Aug. 5-8, 2026, reveals that although support for Hamas has declined, the fundamental political attitudes that have plagued Palestinian society for decades remain largely intact.
Hamas remains a major political force; convicted terrorists and Hamas leaders remain popular candidates for the Palestinian Authority (PA) presidency; overwhelming majorities oppose the unconditional disarmament of Hamas; and Iran, Hizbullah, and the Houthis in Yemen continue to enjoy remarkably high approval ratings.
Asked who is most suitable to succeed PA President Mahmoud Abbas, 39% chose imprisoned Fatah leader Marwan Barghouti. Barghouti is not some imprisoned Palestinian political dissident. An Israeli court convicted him in 2004 of five counts of murder stemming from three terrorist attacks. He was sentenced to five consecutive life terms plus 40 years. This is the man most Palestinian voters would like to see as their next president. The second-place candidate is the head of Hamas - the same Hamas that carried out the Oct. 7 massacre.
72% say Hamas should not disarm before Israel completely withdraws from Gaza. Opposition to disarming Hamas reaches 79% in the West Bank and 62% in Gaza. Nearly 3/4 believe Hamas should be allowed to retain its weapons and continue functioning as an armed organization. This should be of particular concern to the Trump Administration and anyone expecting Hamas to disarm as part of the latest Gaza arrangements.
Whatever the U.S. administration's intentions, the recent meeting between U.S. envoy Jared Kushner and Hamas leader Khalil al-Hayya in Cairo provides Hamas with international legitimacy. Hamas, a U.S.-designated terrorist organization, can present the encounter to Palestinians, Arabs, and Muslims as evidence that its strategy has succeeded.
The message is that terrorism pays. If you carry out attacks, take hostages, retain your weapons and survive long enough - eventually the Americans will negotiate with you. This perception is particularly dangerous just months before Palestinian elections. Instead of politically isolating Hamas, direct high-level engagement helps portray the terrorist group as an indispensable regional actor. (Gatestone Institute)
Observations:
- In the modern battlefield, there is a steadily narrowing gap between theoretical talk of a "digital military" and the ability to actually operate such a force under fire, amid chaos, against an adaptive enemy, and at a tempo where a decision delayed by a minute may already be irrelevant.
- The fighting force that recovered from the October 7 surprise subsequently demonstrated extraordinary tactical and operational adaptability. After the initial shock, the IDF moved within a relatively short period from systemic surprise to a complex, joint, multidimensional offensive campaign, demonstrating the ability of a military organization to learn, change its methods, and rebuild operational effectiveness while fighting.
- One of the defining characteristics of the campaign has been the development of information- and network-centric warfare. In the networked model, the sensor that detects, the system that analyzes, the commander who decides, and the element that fires all become part of a single network. Information is raw material that is rapidly converted into operational effect. The most important weapon on the modern battlefield is the system that knows faster what to shoot at, who should shoot, and when.
- The ground challenge in Gaza has been exceptional even by international standards.
The IDF has had to employ infantry, armor, combat engineers, intelligence, special forces, stand-off fire, and airpower within a dense urban environment, against an enemy that spent years constructing a system specifically designed to reduce the advantages of a conventional military.
- In 2025, the U.S. Army's Center for Army Lessons Learned published a detailed study titled Subterranean Operations: Israeli Defense Force Lessons from Gaza. The study explicitly notes the need to examine and update U.S. doctrine based on the IDF's experience in Gaza.
- For years, a concept developed in Israel that, in many cases, favored deterrence, containment, and risk management over a clear concept of decisive victory. Israel built a force with exceptional technological and operational capabilities, but its strategic concept for employing that force did not always evolve at the same pace.
On October 7, the bill came due.
Oded Ailam, former head of the Counterterrorism Division in the Mossad, is a researcher at the Jerusalem Center.
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