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Source: http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2006/05/19/AR2006051901761.html
Iran's Iraq Strategy: Tehran Could Retaliate by Striking Next Door
(Washington Post) Steven Simon and Ray Takeyh - From the moment the first U.S. warheads detonate over an Iranian nuclear installation, the U.S. will be at war with the Islamic Republic. The most likely theater of operations in the initial stages of a U.S.-Iranian conflict would be next door - in Iraq. Since the collapse of Saddam Hussein's regime, Iran has methodically built and strengthened its military, political, and religious influence in Iraq. Iran's Revolutionary Guard has extensively infiltrated Iraq's Ministry of the Interior and police force, both mainstays of Shiite power.