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Source: http://www.thestandard.com.hk/stdn/std/Focus/GC31Dh02.html
Why Syria Will Not Go Quietly
(The Standard-China) Brian Maher - Lebanon is Damascus' strongest negotiating card with Israel. Losing Lebanon, in the full sense of the word, would represent a significant attenuation of Syria's deterrent posture with Israel - and, if that is lost, a diminution of leverage over the Palestinian issue may not be far behind. Damascus will not relinquish that easily.