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Source: http://www.rand.org/content/dam/rand/pubs/monographs/2011/RAND_MG1087.pdf
Iran's Nuclear Future: Critical U.S. Policy Choices
(RAND Corporation) Lynn E. Davis, Jeffrey Martini, Alireza Nader, Dalia Dassa Kaye, James T. Quinlivan, and Paul Steinberg - As Iran's nuclear program continues to evolve, U.S. decision-makers will confront a series of critical policy choices to dissuade Iran from developing nuclear weapons and deter Iran from using its nuclear weapons, if it were to acquire them. The U.S. will need to find ways to influence Iran's calculations of costs and benefits. The U.S. Air Force needs to prepare by understanding the goals and timelines of potential military tasks and by designing exercises and war games to support different policy choices. (150pp, pdf)