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Source: http://www.washingtoninstitute.org/policy-analysis/view/irans-nuclear-breakout-time-a-fact-sheet
Iran's Nuclear Breakout Time: 7 to 8 Months
(Washington Institute for Near East Policy) Olli Heinonen - The breakout time for 6,500 centrifuges with 3.5% enriched UF6 will be between seven and eight months - less than the goals set by the U.S. administration. Iran's nuclear infrastructure is much larger than what it actually needs. Therefore, a monitoring scheme that is merely "good enough" will not guarantee success in preventing Iran from breaking out and achieving a nuclear weapons capability. The writer is former deputy director-general for safeguards at the IAEA.