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Source: https://www.israelhayom.com/2024/09/05/deciphering-the-labyrinth-of-israels-security-challenges/
Israel Must Be Prepared for the Worst-Case Scenario
(Israel Hayom) Nathan J. Minsberg - According to Lt.-Col. (res.) Sarit Zehavi, founder and president of the Alma Research and Education Center, in August 2024 there were 281 attacks on Israel's northern communities. These included 176 rockets and mortars, 62 drone attacks, and 43 attacks involving other weapons. Additionally, there were 8 anti-tank guided missile attacks, 2 anti-aircraft missile attacks, and 1 sniping incident. On Sept. 2, Hizbullah carried out two attacks involving at least 30 Grad rockets targeting the communities of Ein Ya'akov, Ga'aton, and Yehiam. Hizbullah has suffered significant losses, including the deaths of over 45 senior commanders, but it remains a powerful adversary with an arsenal of over 150,000 rockets and missiles. "Hizbullah's capabilities were damaged but not eliminated," she said. Over 80,000 Israelis from over 40 communities within 5 km. of the border with Lebanon have been displaced. "Oct. 7 taught us that we cannot predict the intentions of our enemies because we cannot understand them. They think so differently than us. They have different values, different perceptions. My conclusion is that Israeli intelligence should look at the capabilities, should listen to the ideologies, and combine that with goals. That way, we can understand where the enemy is heading. We should be prepared for the worst-case scenario. I think this is something we all forgot."