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Securing Gaza's Future - Strategic Stability and the Imperative of Enforcing Hamas's Disarmament
(Jerusalem Center for Security and Foreign Affairs) Dr. Dan Diker - Trump's 20-Point Plan Offers Both Opportunity and Risk. President Trump's 20-point plan could establish long-term stability and prosperity in Gaza and the broader Middle East - but only if backed by an explicit, enforceable U.S. commitment. Without sustained American and Israeli enforcement, it risks becoming a symbolic gesture rather than a transformative peace framework. Hamas Remains the Central Obstacle. Hamas, as an ideologically driven jihadist organization rooted in the Muslim Brotherhood, will not disarm voluntarily. Its shift from overt governance to a covert "ghost" network allows it to infiltrate society and manipulate future governments while evading accountability - a far greater long-term threat. International and Arab Forces Are Ill-Equipped to Disarm Hamas. Statements from U.S. officials such as Vice President J.D. Vance reveal that no capable international or Arab security forces exist to enforce disarmament. The IDF remains the only force with the proven will, intelligence, and operational capability to neutralize Hamas's decentralized terror network. Regional Actors Complicate Implementation. Turkey and Qatar - both aligned with the Muslim Brotherhood - continue to finance and politically support Hamas under the guise of humanitarian aid. Without robust transparency and verification mechanisms, these states could undermine any international or Egyptian-led enforcement effort. A Strategic Realignment Is Underway. The Trump-MBS-Netanyahu vision represents a pragmatic realignment of U.S., Israeli, and Gulf Arab interests. Focused on countering Iran, promoting Arab-Israeli normalization, and advancing economic modernization, this partnership has redefined Middle East geopolitics by prioritizing security, stability, and shared economic growth over ideological concerns. The writer is president of the Jerusalem Center.