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Iran Foresees a Very Different Future
(Wall Street Journal) Yaroslav Trofimo - The calculus of the Iranian regime is "that in coming days the U.S. and Israel will run out of interceptors and they will be able to inflict much more harm on every one of the U.S. allies in the region, and then Trump will be coming to beg for some kind of ceasefire, for which they could dictate the terms," said Ali Vaez, head of the Iran project at the International Crisis Group. "It is to a degree wishful thinking because even if U.S. defensive capabilities suffer, it is still well-stocked on the offensive side and can inflict way more damage to Iran." Vaez added that it would be unthinkable for Mojtaba Khamenei to strike a deal with Trump, given that his entire family was just wiped out. Instead, he would likely use any pause in the fighting to seek nuclear weapons. "Even if the guns fall silent, it will be a very ugly equilibrium, which will not be stable," Vaez said.