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April 21, 2026       Share:    

Source: https://x.com/AmitSegal/status/2046213931329261955

Leaving the Iranian Missile Threat Unaddressed Guarantees Another Round of War

(X) Amit Segal - Before the recent Iran war, the IDF Intelligence Directorate estimated that Iran would have amassed 8,000 ballistic missiles within a year and a half, and up to 11,000 within two and a half years, overwhelming Israel's anti-missile defenses. If Iran again approaches this threshold, another preemptive strike will be necessary. Any diplomatic agreement that fails to impose strict restrictions on Iran's ballistic missile program will simply allow Tehran to replenish its arsenal using unfrozen funds. Leaving the missile threat unaddressed guarantees another round of war against Iran in the next few years.

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